A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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Verma et al. (A-14) examined the use of heparin-PF4 ELISA screening for heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT) in critically ill patients. Using C-serotonin release assay (SRA) as the way of validating HIT, the authors found that in 31 patients tested negative by SRA, 22 also tested negative by heparin-PF4 ELISA.

(a) Calculate the specificity of the heparin-PF4 ELISA testing for HIT.
(b) Using a “literature derived sensitivity” of 95 percent and a prior probability of HIT occurrence as 3.1 percent, find the positive predictive value.

(c) Using the same information as part (b), find the negative predictive value.

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