(1) If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of 0.1. (ii) If volume is low this week then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5. Assume that state 1 is high volume and that state 2 is low volume. (Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).) (1) Find the transition matrix for this Markov process. P = (2) Find the four-step transition matrix P(4): P(4) = (3) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be high 4 weeks from now (use P(4))? (4) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be low 4 weeks from now (use your answer to the preceding question to derive the answer to this question if you can)?

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
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(1) If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of 0.1.
(ii) If volume is low this week then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5.
Assume that state 1 is high volume and that state 2 is low volume.
(Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).)
(1) Find the transition matrix for this Markov process.
P =
(2) Find the four-step transition matrix P(4):
Р(4) %3
...
...
...
(3) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be high 4 weeks from now (use P(4))?
(4) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be low 4 weeks from now (use your answer to the
preceding question to derive the answer to this question if you can)?
Transcribed Image Text:(1) If volume is high this week, then next week it will be high with a probability of 0.9 and low with a probability of 0.1. (ii) If volume is low this week then it will be high next week with a probability of 0.5. Assume that state 1 is high volume and that state 2 is low volume. (Note: Express your answers as decimal fractions rounded to 4 decimal places (if they have more than 4 decimal places).) (1) Find the transition matrix for this Markov process. P = (2) Find the four-step transition matrix P(4): Р(4) %3 ... ... ... (3) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be high 4 weeks from now (use P(4))? (4) If the volume is high this week, what is the probability that it will be low 4 weeks from now (use your answer to the preceding question to derive the answer to this question if you can)?
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