#1) An investment firm is considering two alternative investments, Aug and Breakfast, under two possible future sets of economic conditions, good and poor. There is a .60(60%) probability of good economic conditions occurring and a .40 (40%) probability of poor economic conditions occurring. The expected gains and losses under each economic type of conditions are shown in the following table: Economic Conditions Investment Good Poor A 900,000 - 800,000 120,000 70,000 Using the expected value of each investment alternative, determine which should be selected.
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- Assume you can invest in 2 projects whose payoff depend on the state of the economy. The profits from each project for each state of the economy are presented below. What are the expected payoffs of each project if there is a 50% chance of a recession and a 50% of no recession? Profit under recession Profit under normal conditions Project 1100,000 150,000 Project 2 50,000 240,000 O Project 1: $120,000 and Project 2: $150,000 Project 1: $125,000 and Project 2: $115,000 Project 1: $145,000 and Project 2: $145,000 O Project 1: $125,000 and Project 2: $145,0002 Consider the two investments listed below with possible outcomes and probabilities: INVESTMENT (in $1000) SAFE RISKY INVESTMENT AMOUNTⓇ 40+ 40+ GOOD SCENARIO OUTCOME 45+ 80+ AVERAGE+ SCENARIO PROB OUTCOME 0.40* 0.40€ 42+ 45+ BAD+ SCENARIO PROB OUTCOME PROB 0.20 35+ 0.20 10+ 0.40€ 0.40+ b) a) Suppose I have utility function U(*) = (x)2. What is the expected utility from each investment? Which investment will I choose, if any? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition. c) What is the value of the risk premium for the SAFE investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition. d) What is the value of the risk premium for the RISKY investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition.< +14. Suppose an investment project has an NPV of $75 million if it becomes successful and an NPV of –$25 million if it is a failure. What is the minimum probability of success above which you should make the investment? Group of answer choicesa. 0.50b. 0.25c. 0.33d. 0.10
- 9) A risk-neutral individual with current wealth w has already decided investing all his wealth in a project that has two possible net wealth outcomes wn and we (with probabilities pr and pe, respectively) where wr > w > we > 0, PrPe E (0,1), and pr + Pe = 1. Before he invests, he realises that there is a source of information that tells the individual which outcome will be realised with truth, what is the value of this information for the individual? a) pe(@ – w;), b) (Pn – Pe)w, c) Phwn + PeWe – w, d) Pr(w – wn).Subject 2 A bottle company ALPHA, is considering creating a new bottle of 0.25 lt. To decide whether to invest in this projector not, they performed market research that costed €5,000. The results indicated two possible scenarios that depend on the competitor's reaction to create a similar product and on the percentage of the faithful customers of ALPHA. ScenarioA has a 45% chanceto be realized, while scenarioB has a probability of 55%. For the project's realization the company must purchase specialmachinery that cost €80,000, while transportation and installation costs amount to €2,000. The useful life of the project is two years, and the machinery can be sold at the end of the useful life for €30,000.Table 1 presents the pertinenteconomic data. At the end of the second year the working capital is going to be recaptured. The tax rate is 25%, the weighted average cost of capital is 10% and the company fully depreciates fixed assets for tax purposes, using the straight-line depreciation…Question 2An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated inFigure below. The investor must decide among an apartment building, anoffice building, and a warehouse. The future states of nature that willdetermine how much profit the investor will make are good economicconditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result fromeach decision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below: Assume that it is now possible to estimate a probability of 0.60 that goodeconomic conditions will exist and a probability of .40 that poor economicconditions will exist. a) Determine the best decision by using expected opportunity loss. b) Develop a decision tree, with expected values at the probability nodes. c) Compute the expected value of perfect information.
- PO PhotoStudy Verification- jeolthirs x + suny.edu/webapps/assessment/take/launch.jsp?course_assessment_id%3 48445 1&course_id=_25374_1&content_id%3 830840 18step3Dnull Inspirational Quote... M Gmail O YouTube Dutchess Communi.. 9 Time Calculator (1) A Maps Strong Random Pas.. v Question Completion Status: Oc the Civilian Conservation Corps. O d the Agricultural Adjustment Act. QUESTION 6 The Glass-Steagall Act O a abolished the stock market. Ob required banks to give home mortgages to all Americans regardless of gender or race. Oc established the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and barred commercial banks from becoming pvolved in the buying and selling stocks. Od abolished the Federal Reserve Bank. QUESTION7Please explain in detail about expected utility to get a positive upvote. An individual has a utility function U = W¼, where W is her total wealth. She has one safe asset worth Rs 5,000, and another risky asset whose value can be either Rs 5,000 or Rs 1,400 with equal probabilities. What is her expected utility? (a) Rs 11,400 (b) Rs 100 aw lo boeoqmoo vmonoos to on g cubire cou s o iva alagos ad a adWnooni lanou lo OAuti (c) Rs 2,580 (d) Rs 90Hello can any one help with this Economics question: A contractor spends Dollar 3,000 to prepare for a bid on a construction project which, after deducting manufacturing expenses and the cost of bidding, will yield a profit of dollar 25,000 if the bid is won. If the chance of winning the bid is ten per cent, compute his expected profit and state the likely decision on whether to bid or not to bid?
- 1 Consider the two investments listed below with possible outcomes and probabilities: INVESTMENT (in $1000) P SAFE RISKY INVESTMENT AMOUNT 40+ 40+ GOOD SCENARIO OUTCOME 45+ 80+ AVERAGE+ SCENARIO PROB+ OUTCOME 0.40+ 0.40 42+ 45 BAD+ SCENARIO PROB OUTCOME PROB 0.20 35+ 0.20 10 0.40€ 0.40 a) What are the expected payoffs (E(x)) and standard deviations for each investment? b) Suppose I have utility function U(*) = √(x). What is the expected utility from each investment? c) Which investment will I choose, if any? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition.< d) What is the value of the risk premium for the SAFE investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition. e) What is the value of the risk premium for the RISKY investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition.< 43 A ✔ →A firm plans to expand its product line and faces a dilemma whether to build a small or largefacility to produce new products. If it builds a small facility and demand is low, the NPV afterdeducting for building costs will be four hundred thousand pesos. If demand is high, the firm caneither maintain the small facility or expand it. Expansion would have an NPV of four hundredfifty pesos while maintaining the small facility would have an NPV of fifty thousand pesos. If alarge facility is built and demand is high, the estimated NPV would be eight hundred thousandpesos. If demand turns out to be low, the NPV would be a loss of ten thousand. The probabilitythat the demand is high is estimated to be sixty percent.a. Analyze using a decision tree.b. Compute for EVPI.c. Determine the range over which each alternative would be best in terms of the valuewhen demand is low.A foundation is holding a fund-raising campaign in a form of a raffle. A raffle ticket costs 120 php and there are 5,000 tickets to be sold. The ticket drawn in the raffle will win for its holder the price of 100,000 php. Compute the expected profit or loss for joining this raffle. A. -120 php B. -88.98php C. -99.98php D. -100php