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The Us Treasury Yield Curve

Decent Essays

Discuss and evaluate the major theories evaluating the shape of the yield curve. In your answer also discuss the uses of the yield curve in financial markets, why strips are used in the construction of yield curves and why investors would want to invest in zero coupon bonds or strips.

The yield curve is a graph that plots the yields of similar-quality bonds against their maturities, ranging from shortest to longest. The relationship between yield and maturity is referred to as the term structure of interest rates. The Treasury yield curve is the base or benchmark for pricing bonds and setting yields in other areas of the debt market. Moreover, the shape of the yield curve is constructed from U.S Treasury strips which are zero-coupon …show more content…

However, there is no explanation for inverted or flat curves in this theory.
The market segmentation theory however, suggests that’s there are two distinct markets for short and long term bonds. The demand and supply in the long-term bond market is the determinant of long-term yields whereas, the demand and supply in the short-term bond market is the determinant of short-term rates. Under this theory, it is implied that the future interest rates have very little to do with the shape of the Treasury yield curve. With a greater demand for shorter maturity T-bills relative to T-bonds, the yield curve would typically be upward sloping. However, this theory doesn’t explain why interest rates on various maturities have positive correlations.
Lastly, the preferred habitat theory which is a hybrid of the three aforementioned theories, reject the view that the risk premium must rise uniformly with maturity. Therefore this theory assumes that investors who seek liquidity tend to prefer the short part of the Treasury curve. However, as a result of the demand for short-term T-bills being greater than long-term T-bonds there is an upward slope in the Treasury yield curve. In essence, this theory further modifies the market segmentation theory by implying that investors will switch from their preferred bond markets if premiums are adequate.
Yield curves are used in financial markets as a measure of

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