preview

Telmerate Case

Decent Essays

Parker should enter the business as it offers significant upside potential with a reasonable chance of success and a limited personal downside in the event of failure. While his salary at Fidelity, and therefore opportunity cost, is unknown, Parker has reasonable expertise in the field and possesses significant upside potential with his retention of 93% ownership after the deal.
This structure may perhaps serve to keep sufficient equity available for a subsequent venture capital injection, but given the dynamics of the agreement with Telerate, the prospects of the company should be fairly obvious after only a few months, and, in the event of a successful marketing program, net-profitable within only six. Therefore, it is unclear what the …show more content…

To assume that each option is equally likely seems unwise, so for the purposes of our estimates we will assume that the chance of each option is 25, 25, and 50%, respectively. If certain assumptions are made about the discount rate (7-year average of the Small Stock Total Return, 23.96%), the liquidation multiple (7-year average of the S&P500 P/E Ratio, 9.46, adjusted with the New Horizons Fund Relative P/E ratio, 1.26, to yield a P/E Multiple of roughly 12), and timing of the liquidation event (Y3 to be overly exceptionally favorable and to simplify assumptions), we can see that the options yield a present value of roughly $400K, $80K, and -$100K, respectively. Adjusting for the probability of success of each yields a risk-adjusted present value of $70K, well below the $100K investment. While assumptions are debatable, attempts were made in all cases to assume the most favorable outcome such that the poor nature of the deal would be apparent despite rosy projections. Refer to Exhibits I, II, and III for

Get Access