The subject of induction has been argued in philosophy of science circles since the 18th century. When David Hume introduced his “problem of induction” people who believed in an inductive approach to arguments were left with an epistemological challenge. In other words, it was questioned whether induction was an acceptable way of acquiring knowledge. The principles of the problem of induction have been described by multiple philosophers, however the main assumption is that if you have observed something happening a specific way in the past, it will happen the same way in the future. Hume stated that some people try and justify induction by using inductive arguments or by using the principle of uniformity of nature. If one has to try and prove
“It is clear why this makes for rapid and powerful progress. For exploring the unknown, there is no faster method; this is the minimum sequence of steps. Any conclusion that is not an exclusion is insecure and must be rechecked. Any delay in recycling to the next set of hypotheses is only a delay. Strong inference, and the logical tree it generates, are to inductive reasoning what the syllogism is to deductive reasoning, in that it offers a regular method for reaching firm inductive conclusions one after the other as rapidly as possible.”
It was David Hume that brought forth the problem of induction. Due to his profound critique, philosophers have argued the subject of induction for centuries. Considering the fact that our experiences of the world cannot confirm or disprove general or universal claims, but only particular facts. For this reason, empiricism requires a method to change from knowledge of a specific group of objects, to knowledge of global and general connection. Such a procedure is called
Hume rejects the use of relations of ideas to acquire knowledge and instead turns to accumulation of data. Hume writes that demonstrative reasoning fails to uncover the relation which governs our understanding of matter of fact: cause and effect. A priori reasoning which ignores experience cannot “draw any inference concerning real existence and matter of fact” (Hume17). This is the central proposition of the Inquiry: “causes and effects are discoverable, not by reason, but by experience” (17). For Hume, empiricism paves the way to knowledge and custom, the codified accumulation of knowledge, serves as “the great guide of human life” (28). Knowledge is simply a belief reinforced by experience—a far cry from the Cartesian certainty and clarity. The collection of
Reasoning refers to the process of making use of preexisting knowledge to make conclusions, construct explanations, or make predictions regarding certain issues. According to philosophers, reasoning is broadly categorized into three parts: deductive, inductive, and adductive reasoning. Deductive reasoning begins with assertions of a more general rule and proceeds to a guaranteed conclusion that is specific in nature. Basically, it moves from the general rule to a specific approach. There is an assumption that should the original assertions be true; then, the conclusions are true beyond reasonable doubt. Such kind of reasoning is mostly applied in disciplines like mathematics. Secondly, there is inductive reasoning. In this type of reasoning, specific observations that are limited in scope proceed to generalized conclusions formulated from accumulated evidence; that is, one moves from specific to general. Thus, this approach comes in handy when carrying out scientific research because it entails information gathering, pattern seeking, and formulation of hypotheses to explain the observations. Lastly, there is adductive reasoning. The approach normally starts with an incomplete set of observations and builds towards the likeliest possible explanation. The type of reasoning produces the kind of day-to-day decision making, which relies on the information at hand. This paper will focus on addressing the role of reasoning in
An a priori Defense of Induction, as to why this attempt is the most successful in undermining Hume’s argument against induction, proving that Hume’s argument is not always true, and why the other two attempts fail. The Problem of
This essay looks to discuss Wittgenstein’s response to Russell’s worries about inductive reasoning. According to Russell, inductive beliefs cannot be justified, as to justify them we need to know that the past is indicative of the future, which we cannot know since the future has not occurred yet. Thus, he holds that we cannot justify inductive beliefs. First the essay discusses how we ordinarily claim that induction to be unjustified. Conclusions drawn from this are then used by Wittgenstein to alleviate Russell’s problem. The essay then finds that Russell’s problem comes from him confusing the definitions of knowledge and justified beliefs. Finally, the paper looks to see if Wittgenstein’s response was successful and concludes that it is.
An example would be this ball from this sac is black. That ball from the sac is black. A third ball from the bag is black. Therefore, all the balls in the sac are black. This justification is we assume that something will continue to happen because it has happened the same way before. Hume believes that this type of assumption is circular and lacks justification in reason.
In this paper I discuss the views for and against the scientific method, induction and induction as a scientific method. The scientific method has been proven to be successful countless times, but it has its drawbacks as well, if observations do not follow the predictable laws it cannot be explain by the method. Induction has been used a lot in the scientific method successfully, in many cases it is illogical but not much emphasis should be put as we are always destined to run in to problems when inductively justifying rationally.
Induction is the act of formulating a general conclusion based on experience. In order words, the more we perceive one particular
In the book by David Hume, An Inquiry Concerning Human Understanding, the author states, "Our idea, therefore, of necessity and causation arises entirely from uniformity, observable in the operations of nature; where similar objects are constantly conjoined together, and the mind is determined by custom to infer the one from the appearance of the other." (55) Hume views causation as a nonexistent concept in the world. Rather, he believes that we are presented with one event next to another event, rather than one event caused by the other event. Along with this is the concept that there is no necessary reason for the world to be as we have observed it up until this point. For example, it would not be ridiculous to say that a car that you own
Although inductive reasoning is– as we shall see - not logically continuous, it is nevertheless a seemingly parsimonious avenue for the formation of theories and conceptions about the world around us. The sun has risen and fallen every day up until this point in time and while this may not logically prove that it will do the same tomorrow, the popular belief is that this repetition gives us a firm ontological grounding for expecting it to do so. This does not seem unreasonable, at least in one sense of the word; indeed, if you happened to meet an individual who claimed to possess an agnostic belief about whether or not the sun is likely to reappear tomorrow, then you would most likely consider them to be a very odd person. So inductive inferences are all around us, they are the functional basis of our understanding of the world. For the sake of this paper, then, it is important to understand what we mean when we talk about an inductive inference.
Inductive inferences are used throughout daily life, where we use past events to make predictions of future ones – moving from specific direct knowledge to general indirect knowledge. Inductive inferences are where the premises of an argument support or give good reason to accept the conclusion – but are not logically necessary like deductive inferences (where the negation results in contradiction). In my opinion, induction cannot be justified as it rests on several assumptions. Firstly, that an entire class of objects/events are the same and these will always act in a particular manner; and secondly, that the future will always resemble the past. This begs the question with it’s circular reasoning – because my use of induction has worked in the past it will work in the future. It uses an inductive argument to prove the validity of inductive arguments. To illustrate :
The foundation for matters of fact are based on Cause and Effect where inferences are uncertain if nothing holds them together thus every effect is a distinct event from its cause (THN, 180). He then divides all reasoning into two categories: demonstrative reasoning (deductive) or that concerning relations of ideas, and moral reasoning that concerning matter of fact and existence. All arguments concerning existence are based on cause and effect where our knowledge of that relation is derived entirely from experience. People instinctively use induction as a way of reasoning. We use evidence from events that happen to us every do to make sense of things that we haven’t experienced or observed. Hume tells us that we must first decide whether the evidence we took from our experiences is any good. If the evidence we gathered gives us reason to believe things we haven’t seen or experienced then are we able to justify these claims? To further explain Hume’s point, we can use the example of having a container full of black balls you presume to be candy. After sampling a few of the balls and deciding that they taste like licorice, you gather that all the items must also taste like licorice. All of the balls you have observed up to this point have tasted like licorice. Inductive reasoning would lead us to believe that since a few of the balls tasted like licorice every other ball must also be licorice. Even though we are assuming that all the balls must taste like licorice it
In the play “Trifles” by Susan Glaspell she believes the theme is that men underestimate how smart women are. To begin, the sheriff and county attorney are looking around the house when the sheriff says “Nothing here but kitchen things”. This is an example of situational irony because the sheriff expects that there is nothing there but later in the story the opposite happens and the two women find very important evidence that could solve the murder case. This supports the theme by showing that the women were smart enough to figure out what those items meant but the men didn’t think anything of them. Secondly, Mrs. Peters was told by the attorney to keep an eye out for anything that might help them.
While induction is only one of the five parts of the inductivist account of science, it is one of the most important steps. Induction is the process by which scientists make a leap of thought from observation to theory, and if induction has flaws, then the new theory must unquestionably contain flaws. Regardless of these errors, a scientist, according to an inductivist philosopher, will still accept a particular scientific theory if it can be validly induced from factual observation and experiment.