Case Study: ‘Ocean Carriers’ By: Alyssa Linder Wenliang Zhang Xhangoli, Eva 1. Daily spot hire rates are determined according to supply and demand of the shipping capacity. According to the article, the supply of ships available equals the number of ships currently in the fleet plus any new ships added, minus any scrapings and sinking. According to Exhibit 2, there are a limited number of ships older than 24 years which are likely to be scraped. For those ships under the age group from 15 to 19, they will continue to provide supply and are not likely to be scrapped because a lot of them will get into the second hand market. The majority of the fleet is fairly young, and it looks as though an additional 63 vessels are on …show more content…
As technology is constantly working to improve the ships in terms of efficiency, fewer ships are required to carry the same amount of cargo. Also, with further innovation, costs to build ships will eventually decrease and profits will increase. Overall, the long-term prospect of the capesize dry bulk industry looks optimistic. 4. Based on the information provided in the case, our group calculated the NPV for the project under both tax environment and tax-free condition, respectively, by using the excel spreadsheet and the NPV function. (For a detailed calculation of NPV, please refer to Appendix Under 15-yr.) According to our calculation, we have the following results: In the first case scenario, which the firm is in a tax environment (35% income tax), the NPV of the project equals to -$6,366,054.53 Under the second case scenario, which the firm is in a tax-free environment, the NPV equals to -$834,638.76 According to the NPV rule, Linn should not take up the project, because the NPV of the project is negative for both these two scenarios. 5. From the firm’s point of view, the policy of not operating ships over 15 years old is designed to protect against uncertainty and to pursue a higher premium over the market by having more relatively young vessels rather than old ships. However, based on our calculation of the NPV of the project, under the assumption that the company will continue to operate the ships until the 25 years of service, the results
After evaluating the Super Project for General Foods, the two main things that management needed to address were the relevant incremental and non-incremental cash flows discussed below and incorporate the NPV and the net cash flows (yearly) to make a decision on whether to accept or reject the project. The start-up costs were determined by splitting up the costs of $160,000 in 1967 and $40,000 in 1968. To calculate the yearly cash flows, I used year 1 through 10, and the gross profit was calculated by subtracting out relative cash flows and the before tax depreciation. The NPV of $169,530 is positive for the 10% discount rate, which is less than the IRR of 11.4%.
* Taxation and salvage: Tax regulation in every country is different, so the company should consider it when calculating NPV. Also, it should clarify the depreciation expense and interest expense to
(NSY) had been providing parts and services to the Mega-Yacht Industry since receiving their initial seed capital in 2000. The Mega-Yacht industry provided an attractive opportunity for NSY. Although the industry was small by comparison, serving only 10,000 vessels, it generated in excess of $1 billion in economic activity annually, divvied amongst the new build, and maintenance, refit and repair business sectors (Mark & Mitchell, 2003, p. 48). The industry’s supporting cast included captains and crews, owners, management companies, procurement agents, yacht builders and repair entities, brokers, and local husbanding agents. Although unknown to the firm at its inception, consultants in 2002 forecasted the mega-yacht industry would see annual growth of 6%, with the potential for even better numbers in the short-term (Mark & Mitchell, 2003, p. 48).
Free cash flows of the project for next five years can be calculated by adding depreciation values and subtracting changes in working capital from net income. In 2010, there will be a cash outflow of $2.2 million as capital expenditure. In 2011, there will be an additional one time cash outflow of $300,000 as an advertising expense. Using net free cash flow values for next five years and discount rate for discounting, NPV for the project comes out to be $2907, 100. The rate of return at which net present value becomes zero i.e.
3. Returning the consulting cost to $15,400 per month, at the original discount rate of .09, what is the impact on NPV if you double the number of employees participating in the
We think that daily spot hire rate will likely decrease next year. There are two reasons. First, there are 63 new vessels scheduled for delivery in 2001 to increase the supply of vessel and only few old vessels need to be retired, while the demand will not increase because imports of iron ore and coal would remain stagnant over next two years. Second, exhibit 5 shows that avg. spot rate of 2000 was higher than the rate of previous years and avg. 3-yr charter rate. In addition, the market will seemingly go up after two years. Therefore, ship owners should hope to sign short-term contract through using lower daily spot hire rate rather than locking low daily high rate for a long period.
2. Compute the NPV in Euros by translating the project's future peso cash flows into Euros at expected future spot exchange rates. Note that Groupe Ariel's Euro hurdle rate for a project of this type was 8%, assume that inflation rates are expected to be 7% in Mexico and 3% in France.
The required interest rate which would return an NPV of zero is 9.22%. This is less than the cost of capital of 10%.
If this project is operated by the office in New York, the company would be subject to a 35% corporate income tax. Under this circumstance, regardless of whether Ocean Carriers decided to operate the vessel for 15 years or 25 years, neither option would result in a positive NPV. The NPV at year 2017 would be $-5,781,968.64; the NPV at year 2027 is calculated as $-4,666,724.23. As a result, Linn would definitely make neither investment.
The present value of the net incremental cash flows, totaling $5,740K, is added to the present value of the Capital Cost Allowance (CCA) tax shield, provided by the Plant and Equipment of $599K, to arrive at the project’s NPV of $6,339K. (Please refer to Exhibit 4 and 5 for assumptions and detailed NPV calculations.) This high positive NPV means that the project will add a significant amount of value to FMI. In addition, using the incremental cash flows (excluding CCA) generated by the NPV calculation, we calculated the project’s IRR to be 28%. This means that the project will generate a higher rate of return than the company’s cost of capital of 10.05%. This is also a positive indication that the company should undertake the project.
Barring further analysis, the positive NPV indicates HPL should accept the proposal and proceed with expansion, as it would add value to the company. However, it should be noted that the NPV only becomes positive in year 10 (it is negative in all previous years). Thus, if HPL fails to extend the initial three-year contract with its largest retail customer and the project does not endure the estimated 10-year lifespan, it could in fact produce a loss in value for the company.
Based off a financial analysis using the data Ocean Carriers has provided, the final recommendation is that Ocean Carriers should build a new ship out of its Hong Kong base where the tax rate is 0% and scrap the ship when it is 25 years old. Following this recommendation would be the only scenario where Ocean Carriers sees a positive net present value
The change in incremental cash flow can be examined through looking at the factors causing change
Other section of buyers which may affect container line business are freight forwarders or clearing agents, with rapid expansion of shipping industry and import/
a) If the NPV of the project is positive, the firm should undertake the investment.