The topic of this dissertation is to discuss the monetary policy adopted in bubble economy period of Japanese. As Japanese economics is a specific example around the world. The Japanese government adopted many effective ways to revitalize the economy with the result that its economy rose abruptly after the World war II. However, because Japan entered a liquidity trap around 1990s, and experienced a “Lost Decade” (Hiyashi and Prescott, 2002), the government experienced many economic problems such as of slow growth, deflation, and continues nethermore output (Daniel, 2009) In this dissertation, the following parts will be given: Literature review, data description, test result discussion and conclusion.
Briefly speaking, the literature
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Finally, a conclusion will be provided at the end of this section. At the end of this dissertation, there is a final conclusion will be given, the conclusion will cover the reason whether the monetary policy adopted by Bank of Japan was wrong. It will also give some suggestions about the monetary policy according to Japan’s economy.
In general, the point of this dissertation is to focus on the monetary policy of Japan during bubble economy period and to identify whether Bank of Japan did right or wrong in such period.
Literature Review
The background of Japanese Monetary policy in Bubble economy period
As Walsh (2003) said that, ‘a social loss function dependent on inflation and output gap is the appropriate objective of monetary policy’ which indicates that the level of inflation and output are the major factors that affect monetary policy of all countries. Moreover, Castelnuovo and Surico (2010) claimed that inflation are the key elements to decided a monetary policy for a county. For the Japan economy, it experienced a disaster during the period 1986-1991, which named Japanese asset price bubble (Wood, Christopher, 2005). It leaded a long term economic depression japan after that. The main reason for the bubble economy is the extremely high inflation rate and output. As mentioned before, Japan was sustained a rapid development after world war II, the main industry of Japan is manufacturing industry. After the Plaza Accord
During the decade of the 1960s, the monetary value of exports grew at an average annual rate faster than the average rate of all noncommunist countries. This rapid productivity growth in manufacturing industries made Japanese products more competitive in world markets. With the fixed exchange rate for yen during the decade of 1960, the chronic deficits that the nation faced in the 1950s had disappeared by the middle of the 1970s.
Economists and historians have studied the causes for Japan’s stagnation over the past twenty years, but there are significantly different opinions regarding the issue. Most agree that the huge asset ‘bubble’ was the cause for the initial stagnation, but they disagree as to the reasons for why this
This paper will look at the Depressions that took place in Japan and Russia between 1929-39. Japan World War I did not have the horrible effect on Japan’s economy that it did on the rest of the world. This was mostly because Japan had taken over the markets that had been dominated by the
Japan’s unemployment rate of about 4% opposed to the U.S. unemployment rate of close to 10%. Even the financial debt to GDP ration is an advantage, and debt in the private sector has not increased unlike the U.S. and European countries, (Time, 2009). In addition, since Japan is a huge exporter and with the U.S. demand going downward, the international balances and growth declined especially as the dollar value dropped and the yen surged. •
Today in Japan, a reinvention is necessary. There are many struggles with the young generation, the old generation, and catastrophic events which should be addressed. Specifically, the Japanese economy has been experiencing deflation for the past twenty years. In an article, the results of the deflation were described. The authors said, “Because of fewer available jobs and lower
Japan ranks as the third largest economy in the world as of 2010. The GDP at current prices in US dollars in Japan was reported at 5068.06 billion in 2009, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Japan’s resurgence after World War II has however reached an inflection point in yearly 1989 after the burst of Japan’s asset price and real estate bubbles. As can be seen from the graph below, Japan’s GDP has hovered around the same level through more than 20 years of economic stagnation. The GDP’s slow growth has been exacerbated by the world financial crisis of 2008. A major landmark of Japan’s stagnation has been the BOJ’s fight against deflation.
Currently, Japan uses its high technological products to sustain the economy in exchange for raw materials. Due to the rugged terrain of the island of Japan, it is difficult to self-sustain with raw materials such as petroleum. Years ago, Japan was producing raw materials from the volcanic stone, such as copper, silver and gold, until trades were banned (Ew World Economy Team, 2013). Japan has the third largest automobile manufacturer in the word. Industrialization and services is the highest producing income for the Japanese economy. Financial services account for the bulk of Japan’s economy. Tokyo has the fourth largest stock market in the world, and Japan is the largest creditor nation in the world. The country has rebounded from a recession much like the United States. After World War II, it took Japan nearly two decades for it to recover. After one recession, Japan suffered another in the 1990’s and by the early 2000’s began to see signs of sustained recovery (Ew World Economy Team, 2013). There has been slow progress, but the Japanese are using their resources and services wisely to continue to have economic growth and maintain the low unemployment rates (Ew World Economy Team, 2013). Much like the United States, there was an economic catastrophe, but using resources wisely has led to the success of the
Monetary policy plays a vital role in the housing market developments since housing is one of the more sensitive sectors. Housing demand is determined through the level of interest rates and other economic factors. One of the factors that could have contributed to the housing market development is the low level of nominal funds rate. This paper assessed how much the monetary policy contributed to the housing boom based on several perspectives.
This paper looks at the evolution of monetary policy in the Philippines by studying monetary aggregate targeting and inflation targeting. Moreover, this paper also present data of some economic indicators that may be affected by the monetary policy. The researcher also analyzes these data.
The deregulation of financial markets catalysed by Globalisation worldwide has impacted on the amount of trade within the Japanese economy beneficially allowing easier access to foreign currencies, facilitating a higher flow of goods between nation, by relaxing laws that severely prevented foreign buying of currency, and floating the yen. These drivers have helped boost Japan's trade and recovery from its recession. Technology has allowed finances to be traded and communication to be near to instantaneous. This has increased dramatically the amount of FDI into Japan largely thanks to the numerous strategies the Japanese government has taken to promote economic growth and hence development. Finance and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) have increased as a direct result of globalisation doubling from $63 billion in 2001 to $144 billion in
This paper will discuss the goal of monetary policy and its impact on the performance of the economy as it relates to such factors as inflation, financial yield, and business. Monetary policy affects all kinds of monetary and financial decisions individuals make in this nation, whether to get a loan to purchase another house or car or to start up a company, whether to expand a business and whether to place savings in a bank, in bonds, or in the stock market. Furthermore, because the U.S. is the largest economy in the world, its monetary policy also has significant monetary and financial effects on other countries.
For a prolonged period of time, the Bank of Japan (BofJ) has implemented expansionary monetary policy tools in order to achieve price stability and economic growth. The inflation rate (CPI) target for the BofJ is currently 2%. The success of their monetary stimulus program has often been subject to the mercy of external market forces. The central bank has recently blamed Brexit for the failure of its monetary stimulus program, and extended economic ramifications. The banks quantitative easing (QE) & negative interest rates have failed to save the Japanese economy from stagnation. Global market uncertainty in light of Brexit instigated a rally for the Japanese Yen on the FOREX, leading to an appreciation of the Yen and the subsequent failure of the BofJ’s monetary stimulus. This report will identify the banks use of monetary policy before and after the Brexit vote. It was also try to establish whether market uncertainties caused by Brexit are solely to blame for the failure of the BofJ’s monetary stimulus program. Finally the report will assess whether other variables such as, low oil prices and a slowdown in emerging economies were to blame for the failure of the monetary stimulus package.
As a result, Japan went into a prolonged period of deflation that lasted for most of the 1990’s. In order to boost demand, the Japanese government took a Keynesian approach and went through 10 fiscal stimulus packages in 1990’s totaling over 100 trillion yen (10). However, this didn’t have the desired effect on demand because of deflation. Consumers were putting-off purchase decisions because prices were falling. The real GDP stagnated and average growth between 1990 and 2001 was only 0.37% (12).
Japan saw its nation change in 1990 when the Japanese economy stagnated. Indeed, between 1991 and 2003 the Japanese economy only grew 1.14% (of GDP) every year. This is not enough when compared to other developed countries. (Yuji Horioka, 2006). Alexander, A. J. (2000) states the facts that from the first quarter of 1990 to the first quarter of 2000 the annual increase in real gross domestic product per capita barely exceeded 1 percent, making it very clear that Japan was in a recession. This is all the
Technological advances in computers during 1980 increased standards of leaving worldwide. Also, deflation can increase international competitiveness and improves the balance of payments if other countries have inflation. “During Japan’s deflation, the country saw strong exports which, helped offset the fall in consumer spending” (Problems of Deflation, Economics