Johnson and Johnson price to operating profits is 19.69. This ratio is quite difficult to interpret because the utilization of net income could be calculated in different way, modifying the final result of the ratio. In order to calculate the net income, I used the gross income minus operating expenses minus depreciation and amortization. All this number are quite ease to manipulate in the statements of the companies, therefore, the use of this ratio to invest is risky. The average price to operating profits ratio of the pharmaceutical industry is 17.80, indicating a lower number of operating profit comparing with JNJ ratio. (Valuation Ratios, 2016)
Dividend Discount Model
The dividend discount model is used to calculate the present value
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These factors are not reflected in the dividend discount model of JNJ, therefore, the figures of the model need to be analyzed prudently.
Free Cash Flow Valuation
The main goal of the paper is provided recommendation about Johnson and Johnson and Intel Corporation in order to invest in the short tern, therefore, the calculation of the free cash flow just use one year, producing results more incurables for short tern investors.
The free cash flow valuation captures the fundamental drivers of the business such as the cost of equity, cost of debt or growth rate.
In order to obtain the total business value (free cash flow to firm), the free cash flows of the next year were divided by the weight average cost of capital minus the expected growth of the company. The number obtained was 1,409,8411.8 US dollars, the number shows how Johnson and Johnson will perform next year according to the free cash flow.
On the other hand, the business equity value (free cash flow to equity) was 108,030.33 US dollars. This number is a great indicator of the amount of money that JNJ produces and it could be distributed to the
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Moreover, the pharmaceutical industry is increasing the profit margin yearly, when the growth is steady and the intellectual property rights are really favorable for the industry in order to maintain the performance.
The return relative valuation shows solid ratios similar to the industry, therefore the investment on the company do pay back on the short tern. The dividend discount model indicates that the stock price of Johnson and Johnson is overvalued using both models. This is the only critical area were JNJ shows weaknesses. However, as was mentioned before, the dividend discount model does not incorporate to the calculus the brand value or financials measures.
Lastly, the free cash flow valuation od the company denotes the strongly perspective for the coming
In order to assess Calaveras’ value, I calculated the free cash flow from 1994 to 1998. The free cash flow from each year derived from adding Earnings before Interest and Taxes,
The purpose of this report is to evaluate the stock price of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (which ticker symbol in NYSE is WMT) by fundamental analysis. According to this analysis, I recommend that Wal-Mart is worth to invest in the long term because of the potential growth of market shares and revenue. Besides, based on P/E method and Gordon model, WMT price is undervalued; therefore, if investors buy the stock, they will get benefit not only in capital gain but also in dividend cash inflow.
First, the projected cash flows range from $21.2 million in 2007 to $29.5 million in 2011 as shown in the data exhibit ‘DCF model.’ To generate these numbers Liedtke’s base case performance projections are used for the projected 2007 – 2011 net revenue numbers and the estimated depreciation and then his projections for Balance sheet accounts were used to determine the current net working capital and capital expenditure as in the exhibit ‘Financial statements.’ These projections were based by Liedtke under the following assumptions, women’s casual footwear would be wound down within one year and the historical corporate overhead-revenue ratio would conform to historical averages. These annual cash flows give us a PV (Cash flows) of $96.15 million over the next 5 years.
The next step was to calculate the free cash flows for the eleven-year period. In order to do so, we used to following formula: FCF = EBIT(1-tax) + depreciation - change in NWC – CapEx. From here, we used to WACC of 13.89% previously calculated, in order to find the present value of each FCF.
* Determine the investment’s value without leverage, VU, by discounting its free cash flows at the
To measure their ability to repay maturing debt, JCPenney looks at their free cash flow. The free cash flow is used to measure excess cash generated by operating activates after the company pays capital expenditures and dividends . It is necessary that the free cash flow is not viewed as a replacement to the statement of cash flows, but analyzed in accordance. The free cash flow is very simple since it does not deduct any payments used for paying debt maturities, pension debt or other payments in acquisitions. Below is the free cash flow for JPenney from the 2012 10K.
Using the data provided in Exhibit 1, we can get free cash flow of year 2007-2011 would be $21.24 million, $26.73 million, $22.10 million, $25.47 million, and $29.54 million respectively. The computation is showed in Exhibit 1($ in thousands).
A. The company needs to focus on the free cash flows instead of the accounting profits since these are the funds flow the company will receive and will be able to reinvest. By examining the cash flows they will be adapt to predict the profits and/or expenses timetable. The company’s interests in these cash flows are on an after-tax basis since they are part of the shareholders dividends. Additionally, the additional cash flows are of important, because, after analyzing the project while viewing the company as a whole, the additional cash flows are seen as minimal benefits and will show the elevated value to the company if the decision is made to implement the project.
The free cash flow method is used to gauge “a company’s cash flow beyond that necessary to grow at the current rate… [to ensure companies] make capital expenditures to continue to exist and to grow” (Drake, n.d.). Calculation of free cash flows utilizes various components, including a firm’s value, cash flow forecasts, a firm’s capital structure, the cost of capital, and/or discounted cash flows.
h) How do free cash flows and weighted average cost of capital interact to determine a firm’s value?
The current financial performance is pretty optimistic for RL Corporation. At the same time, we also need to forecast the future financial data after 2012. To forecast the future free cash flow, only the internal employees can get the real and accurate information and ratios. As an external observer, we usually analyze the linear relation between the cost of capital and growth rate, considered as the constant growth model. First of all, we need find the WACC, Weighted Average Cost of Capital. The weighted average of the after-tax
It is determined that the company worth is $856,518 with a share price of $351.03 per value as per the discounting dividend cash flow valuation approach..In appraising the anticipated premerger performance of the company, the weighted average cost of capital is computed; the worth of the WACC for FVC is 9.2% as depicted in
Regarding Johnson & Johnson’s earnings per share, we can see that from the total net earnings, each share of the company’s common stock is valued in $4.40 which has significantly decreased from its value in 2008, but once again is over the value of year 2007, probably due to the economic crisis.
Q2: Use the FCF Valuation Template below to modify the analysis in the case, Ex. 6 (incorrectly labeled Ex. 5), calculating and defending an estimate of Crocs value. Soln: The preferred method to determine a company’s going-concern value by adjusting for risk and time. Simply put, the value of equity = value of firm – value of debt. So to find the intrinsic or fair values of Crocs, the forecast numbers from exhibit 6 were plugged into the provided template and appropriate entries from the balance sheet and income statement were entered. Assumptions: The depreciation and amortization amounts, capital expenditures were pulled directly from exhibit 6 assuming them to be incremental. Other assumptions include the discount rate at 10.96%, the long-term growth at 6%, and market value of debt as zero and no redundant assets. The firm will have perpetual growth after 4 years at a rate of 6%. The free cash flows along with terminal value calculated are listed below:
Johnson & Johnson is a valuable company to invest in. Its great increase in stock prices this year shows that other investors believe so as well. With a 52 week range from 68.6 to 96 showing and increase of 27.4, an approximate percent change of 40%, it shows that there is great hope in this company. Also back to back positive quarterly sales make the company more appealing. The third quarterly sales showed an overall increase of 3.1% compared to last year’s third quarter sales, beating projected expectations for the company.