GREECE ECONOMY AFTER EURO CRISIS
NAME: HARSHITA AGRAWAL
CLASS: FYBA ‘C’
ROLL NO.: 325
Introduction
Greece is a service sector led economy, which contributes 85%. Industry (12%) and agriculture (3%) are relatively very small. The main industries include tourism and merchant shipping which are more global in nature.
Greece as an economy was doing very well until the global economy crashed in 2008 due to “Global Financial Crisis (GFC)”. During the period of 2001- 2007, Greece was one of the high growth economies in the European Union (EU) with nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growing at an average rate of around 7% per annum and real GDP growing at a rate of 4.2% per annum which was more than the growth in EU. The GFC was a
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In fact, for their political agenda, the governments go over board and start taking excessive debt/loan.
In the successive tables, we can see the increased debt levels of a few developed and developing countries, Greece in particular, which took excessive debt.
It was the excessive debt which caused the problem in European countries. Excessive debt level is defined as 90% and above of the GDP, by famous economists- Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff. However, IMF (International Monetary Fund) has suggested a limit of up to 120% of the GDP. The EU has been more conservative and had prescribed the upper limit of 60% in the normal circumstances.
While EU had prescribed the upper limit of 60% as Debt to GDP, it failed to effectively monitor the fiscal data of its members. As we can see from Table 1 above, Greece, during 2000- 2007 consistently had debt to GDP ratio of above 100%. Yet EU did not take any action against Greece.
Analysis
A few European countries (17) came together to form EU on 1st January 1999 establishing common currency for all the EU nations i.e. Euro.
Euro crisis also known as European sovereign debt crisis resulted from a combination of factors, including the globalisation of finance, easy credit conditions during the 2001–2008 period that encouraged high-risk lending and borrowing practices; the GFC which exposed the fiscal weakness and high debts levels of many nations; international trade imbalances; real estate
Greece’s unemployment rate has hit another highest record in May 2013, which is 27.6%. Greece continues to suffer jobless labour market from the deep recession. Among all the labour force aged 16-24, the rate is 64.9% as the Greece sees the sixth year of recession. Jobs of any kind are scarce in today’s Greece. Deep recession have swept away a quarter of the Greece’s GDP. Greece, the country of 11 million people has lost more than a million jobs as business shut down or lay off staff.
The roots of Greece’s economic problems extend deep down into the recesses of history. After the government dropped the drachma for the euro in 2001, the economy started to grow by an average of 4% annually, almost twice the European Union average. Interest rates were low, unemployment was dropping, and trade was at an all-time high. However, these promising indicators masked horrible fiscal governance, growing government debt and declining current account balances. Greece was banking on the rapid economic growth to build upwards on highly unstable foundations. In 2008, the inevitable happened – the Greek debt crisis.
One in five jobs created in Greece is related to the tourism sector. Tourism is essential to Greece's effort for recovery from their economic crises. Every 30 or more tourists visiting Greece, creates one new job for a Greek. In 2016, Greece had 4.785 million of labor force, according to the CIA. The agricultural sector had only 12.6%, while the industry sector had 15% and the services sector had 72.4% of the country ‘s labor force.
In 1999, ten European nations joined together to create an economic and monetary union known as the Eurozone. Countries, such as Germany, have thrived with the euro but nations, like Greece, have deteriorated since its adoption of the euro in 2001. The Eurozone was created in 1999 and currently consists of eighteen European nations united under the European Central Bank and all use the euro. The Eurozone has a one point six percent inflation rate and an eleven point six percent unemployment rate in 2014. Greece joined the Eurozone in 2001 and was the poorest European Union member at the time with a two point six percent inflation rate3 (James, 2000). Greece had a long economic history before joining the Eurozone. The economy flourished from 1960 to 1970 with low inflation and modernization and industrialization occurring. The market crash in the late 1970’s led Greece into a state of recession that the nation is still struggling with. Military failures, the PASOK party and the introduction of the euro have further tarnished Greece’s economic stability. The nation struggles with lack of competitiveness, high deficit, and inflation. Greece has many options like bailouts, rescue packages, and PPP to help dig it out of this recession. The best option is to abandon the Eurozone and go back to the drachma. Greece’s inflation and deficit are increasing more and more and loans and bailouts have not worked in the past. Leaving the Eurozone will allow Greece to restructure and rebuild
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