Critically analyse how the government debt problems initially faced by a few relatively small economies could trigger such a wide impact in financial markets
Introduction
Since the Greece's debt crisis happened, the Euro zone has to confront with a huge sovereign debt crisis, like governments' debt increased, bond yield spreads widened, Euro exchange rate fell as well, which caused that the whole international financial markets gradually lost the confidence. The purpose of this essay is to discuss the impact of this crisis both on foreign exchange and derivative markets. And the rest words is to analyse several possible reasons why this small economy could trigger such a wide impact on global financial markets, in which contagion can
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Graph 4 US Dollar against Selected Currencies
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Source: Bloomberg
Oppositely, after fluctuational depreciating during the past few months, several emerging market currencies have appreciated since the beginning of 2012(Graph5). However, as the continuous concerns about spillover effects from the euro area debt crisis, emerging European currencies remained relatively weak nowadays.
Graph5 Emerging Market Currencies
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Sources: Bloomberg; IMF; RBA
Derivative Market
In 2001, in order to enter European Union, Greece referred the U.S. Goldman Sachs to design the currency swaps, which facilitated Greece join the European union. Nevertheless after predicting the prospects of the Greek economy, Goldman bought German CDS credit default swap insurance and gambled that Greek could not afford such a large sum of payment of insurance that purchased the cheap CDS. When Greece debt broke out, distribute the bad news of the Greece's pay ability to increase the price of CDS and earn the price differences.
With the emergence of European debt crisis, the credit rating of some countries like Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain had been downgraded in term of there sovereign
The outbreak and spread of the financial crisis of 2007-2008 have caused the most of countries into severe economic difficulties and also created an adverse impact on the global economy. The beginning of the financial crisis is defaults in the subprime mortgage market in the USA. Although the global economy seems to recover since 2009, the impacts of the crisis still affect many countries until now. This essay focuses on the background and impacts of financial crisis, and the learning from the movie The Big Short.
Taylor, J. B. 2008. The Financial Crisis and the Policy Responses: An Empirical Analysis of What Went Wrong . Global Markets Working Group , 5. UK Essays.
Thesis: Broadly speaking, the debt crisis facing the US and the international community is an issue that has far reaching implications not only for financial institutions but also to many working people and many economists are giving top priority in solving this issue.
In 2008, the world experienced a tremendous financial crisis which rooted from the U.S housing market; moreover, it is considered by many economists as one of the worst recession since the Great Depression in 1930s. After posing a huge effect on the U.S economy, the financial crisis expanded to Europe and the rest of the world. It brought governments down, ruined economies, crumble financial corporations and impoverish individual lives. For example, the financial crisis has resulted in the collapse of massive financial institutions such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brother and AIG. These collapses not only influence own countries but also international area. Hence, the intervention of governments by changing and
The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 has been studied by several economists, and different causes have been identified, both primary and secondary, which intensified the overall impact of the crisis. In my view, the Global Financial Crisis resulted due to a culmination of several policies that interplayed with each other, and significantly influenced all sectors of the economy, from consumers to the government. In this essay, I will be addressing the main underlying causes of the crisis, how they originated, the extent of their impact, and how they compare with other financial crises. I will conclude with an analysis of policies that have been undertaken, and initiatives which should be implemented to prevent future crises.
In 2008, the world experienced a tremendous financial crisis which is rooted from the U.S housing market. Moreover, it is considered by many economists as one of the worst recessions since the Great Depression in 1930s. After bringing a huge effect on the U.S economy, the financial crisis expanded to Europe and the rest of the world. It ruined economies, crumble financial corporations and impoverished individual lives. For example, the financial crisis has resulted in the collapse of massive financial institutions such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and AIG. These collapses not only influenced own countries but also international scale. Hence, the intervention of governments by changing and expanding the monetary
Analysis of “The Global Financial Crisis: Causes, Effects, Policies and Prospects” Dominick Salvatore, Journal of Politics & Society, Columbia University
What is the European Debt Crisis? The European Debt Crisis is the failure of the Euro, a currency that ties seventeen European countries together. In this paper, I will be describing the cause and effect of the debt crisis along with what would happen if the European Union stayed with the economy they have. Then what I believe is the best solution to fixing the debt crisis.
To Greece, the potential idea of entering the Eurozone was one that was too tempting. A key benefit would be the reduction of inflation rates in the short term. “By joining a monetary union with a credible anchor country or set of countries, a client country eliminates the inflation bias arising from time inconsistency in monetary policy” (Alesina & Barro, 2002). The inflation rate falls to that of the lowest member nation - representative of the credibility and reputation of the German banks and the entire OCA. Hence, a country such as Greece, which lacked the regulation and financial supervision, jumped at the opportunity of sharing the same credible status Germany worked hard to maintain.
In order to fight the crisis some governments within the European Union had focused on raising taxes and lowering expenditure. This raise of taxes and lowering of the governments expenditure contributed to social unrest as it is only natural the living population would much rather not pay higher taxes (Eichler, 2011). Sovereign debt had risen substantially in only a few Eurozone countries, most dramatically in countries like Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Although only a small amount of countries had a debt crisis or where on a path of having a debt crisis, it had become a perceived problem for the rest of the European union countries as the threat of further contagion was on the brink and a possible break-up of the Eurozone was in peoples thoughts. The global credit crunch in 2007/ 08 affected and exposed countries to the sovereign debt crisis. The credit crunch alludes to a sudden deficiency of trusts for giving, prompting an ensuing decrease in advances accessible. This credit crunch was constrained by a sharp climb in defaults on subprime contracts. These home loans were predominantly in America however the ensuing deficiency of stores spread all through whatever remains of the world particularly in Europe. This credit crunch led to many changes within the Eurozone, the following are some of the changes that the credit crunch caused; bank losses such as commercial European banks lost money on their exposure to bad debts in US, recession that resulted
The recent financial crisis that was felt around the globe and most significantly in the USA and Europe has had various detrimental and long lasting effects. Superficially the effects felt by the USA and Europe appear to be the same, but there are important differences in its effect, and the way in which both dealt, and are still
European sovereign-debt crisis is still going on in some countries in eurozone, such as Greece, Spain, Ireland, Portugal. The origins of these crises started from Greece when the government borrowed a huge amount of money from foreign investors and was unable to repay. As a result, a financial crisis started to hit Greece as the starting point of the crisis over countries in Eurozone. While the old deutschmark (DM) bloc – Germany, France, etc. experience lower than average growth and inflation, the Eurozone experienced the contrary. In general, instead of global factors as the causes of the crisis, the Eurozone itself should hold responsible for the start and spread of the crisis.
There are many currencies in the world that get traded across the world every day. According to Countries-of-the-World.com (2015) there are roughly around 167 official national currencies, even though there are 197 independent countries in the world plus about 5 dozen dependent territories. The fact of the matter is that many of them don’t have their own currencies or actually use any foreign currency. This is why the European euro is used in 34 independent states, as well as in overseas territories. Furthermore, the U.S dollar is used by 10 different foreign countries and is the most traded currency in the world. With about 47% share of global payments and 87% of the forex market’s daily turnover going to the United States of America. Then the Euro comes in at second place with about 33% of the forex and 28% of international bank shares going to trades.
The European sovereign debt crisis, which made it difficult or impossible for some countries in the euro area to repay or re-finance their government debt without the assistance of third parties (Haidar, Jamal Ibrahim, 2012), had already badly hurt the economies in “PIIGS”, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. This financial contagion continues to spread throughout the euro area, and becomes a dangerous threat not only to European economy, but also to global economy.
Part I of the book focus on the introduction of varieties of crises, the syndrome of debt intolerance and their global database. They pointed out that from 1350-2006, a duration of development of emerging market economy phase, the most notable feature of this time is all countries have defaulted at least once and many several times on external debt, there is nearly no “default virgins”. (Reinhart and Rogoff).