Danaher Corporation is a global science and technology corporation that specializes in the manufacturing and marketing of professional, medical, and industrial commercial products. Within the process of evaluating the Danaher Corporation, I will be conducting various financial techniques such as a discount cash flow analysis and sensitivity analysis to assess the company.
A discounted cash flow analysis measures the value of a company todays based on calculated predications of how much money they will make in the future. This valuation method is used to determine how profitable an investment is. To conduct a DCF analysis, I used future free cash flows predictions ranging from years 2016 through 2026 to get an estimated present value. My ultimate goal in conducting a discounted cash flow analysis for this project is to value to the equity of the stock and find the stock price for the Danaher Corporation.
While forming my project, I found that the questions I was assigned to complete all tied into the overall outcome of the project. Some of the key questions I was trying to answer in this project included, what is the value of the stock? How the sales forecast affected the overall stock price? What effect does each ratio have on the free cash flows? What variables have the greatest impact on the stock price? What is the terminal growth rate? What was the WAAC? What are the number of outstanding shares? After conducting thorough research on the company and using calculations
The questions that follow and the article Comparing the Accuracy and Explainability of Dividend, Free Cash Flow, and Abnormal Earnings Equity Value Estimates will inform your completion of Milestone Three. An understanding of the models in this assignment will assist you in hypothesizing the incremental impact of a new investment project for the company. The understanding of these models will contribute to your ability to look toward the future when considering the direction of an organization. This activity is worth a total of 75 points. See the distribution of points listed before each question.
First, the projected cash flows range from $21.2 million in 2007 to $29.5 million in 2011 as shown in the data exhibit ‘DCF model.’ To generate these numbers Liedtke’s base case performance projections are used for the projected 2007 – 2011 net revenue numbers and the estimated depreciation and then his projections for Balance sheet accounts were used to determine the current net working capital and capital expenditure as in the exhibit ‘Financial statements.’ These projections were based by Liedtke under the following assumptions, women’s casual footwear would be wound down within one year and the historical corporate overhead-revenue ratio would conform to historical averages. These annual cash flows give us a PV (Cash flows) of $96.15 million over the next 5 years.
Two discounted cash flow analyses accompany this memo. Part A contains an adjustment for possible business erosion at Rotterdam, while part B does not make that adjustment.
The next step was to calculate the free cash flows for the eleven-year period. In order to do so, we used to following formula: FCF = EBIT(1-tax) + depreciation - change in NWC – CapEx. From here, we used to WACC of 13.89% previously calculated, in order to find the present value of each FCF.
* Determine the investment’s value without leverage, VU, by discounting its free cash flows at the
As discounted cash flow method assumes all equity financed acquisition, it presents more comparable value for the real option values shown. The value of Apache’s possibility to decide whether to exploit the reserves equals the difference between DCF value and the real option value.
The free cash flow method is used to gauge “a company’s cash flow beyond that necessary to grow at the current rate… [to ensure companies] make capital expenditures to continue to exist and to grow” (Drake, n.d.). Calculation of free cash flows utilizes various components, including a firm’s value, cash flow forecasts, a firm’s capital structure, the cost of capital, and/or discounted cash flows.
* Danaher business choice is focused on the belief that the market is the primary priority, and then the company. Instead of identifying prospective objectives and then asses their market potential, Danaher performs a top-down analysis that progresses from market analysis to company assessment to persistence, appraisal, compromise, and finally integration. Businesses are assessed according to certain required standards: First, the size of the market has to surpass $1 billion. Second, core market progression has to be at least 5%-7% and minus cyclicality or instability. Third, is observing divided businesses with a long tail of members that have $25-$100 million in sales. Fourth, is trying to avoid competitors. Fifth, the target arena must offer a decent opportunity for utilizing the DBS so that Dananher skill set can be influence. And finally, is looking for tangible product-centric businesses.
A newly-appointed director of a small German beer brewer must prepare to vote on three issues coming before the board of directors the next day: (1) approval of the financial plan for 2001, (2) declaration of the quarterly dividend, and (3) adoption of an incentive compensation plan for the marketing manager. The student’s task is to evaluate the past and prospective financial performance of the company and to critique its liberal credit and inventory policies. The objectives of the case are to:
In DCF valuation (Chart 2), long-term growth rate is assumed to be 4%. Change in working capital is calculated as the average of 1997 and 1996 figure and is assumed to be constant for simplicity. Terminal value is valued at $69,398.1 million and NPV is $51,525 million. Stock price will be $37.07, indicating an exchange ratio at 0.46. This is a very conservative valuation as our DCF price is lower than Amoco’s current market price.
Discounted cash flow is a method that allows predicting an estimated projection of what might a stock’s value be in the present therefore show the attractiveness of an investment, this is done through the use of previous data relating a matter and computing details at hand into a formulae which give estimated projections . There are numerous distinctions as to what DCF could be used for, primarily it is used for deriving estimates of what you could get from a possible investment with consideration of time and money. DCF is a great tool at an entity’s disposal, yet it still holds a number of fault – the smallest change of computed date could result in complete inadequacy in the result.
As the case explains, economic changes are a big concern for Danaher’s success. The following topics will be analyzed in addressing those concerns: Business-Level Strategy, Corporate-Level Strategy, External Analysis, Internal Analysis, Recommendations.
It is focused on cash flow rather than accounting practices and allows for different components of a company to be valued separately. Conversely, the biggest challenge of the DCF method is that the determined value is only as accurate as the information it is given, that being the FCF, TV and discount rates. In other words, if the information given to determine the DCF isn’t accurate then the fair value for the investment won’t be accurate and the model won’t be helpful when assessing stock prices due to the inaccuracies. Furthermore, DCF is only good for long term values not short term investing. “The bottom line is that DCF is a rigorous valuation approach that can focus your mind on the right issues, help you see the risk and help you separate winning stocks from losers and help reduce uncertainty.” (McClure, 2011) So, now that we’ve looked at CAPM and DCF, what can we conclude?
In finance, discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is a method of valuing a project, company, or asset using the concepts of the time value of money. All future cash flows are estimated and discounted to give their present values (PVs) — the sum of all future cash flows, both incoming and outgoing, is the net present value (NPV), which is taken as the value or price of the cash flows in question.
Project Management answers the “who”, “what”, “when”, and “how” questions that relate to project requirements. Project management