DERIVATIVE CASES CASE STUDY II AMERICAN BARRICK RESOURCES CORPORATION: MANAGING GOLD PRICE RISK Group II - Cohort 5 American Barrick is the largest gold producer in North America. The implementation of the gold-hedging program differentiated the firm from other major gold rivals and improved its reserve and financial strength. In 1995, American Barrick ’s latest gold find necessitated the company to determine a new hedge strategy for its gold production. I. Motivation From the Exhibit 3, we find that few gold producers hedge their productions. Except the American Barrick, who hedged 94% of …show more content…
For the two reasons, we think the advantage of this method is overwhelmed by its flaws, especially given the fact that current gold price still has ample room to increase. So, it is not a good vehicle for American Barrick. Options strategies share a similar defect with forward sales. That is the weakness of getting the maximum profits that are available when the price goes up or indeed has the potential to rise. “By adjusting the exercise prices and ratios of puts and calls, American Barrick could determine the degree to which it chose to participate in gold price sales”. However, options contracts are usually not longer than 5 years and only contracts with maturities under 2 years have high liquidity. Thus, the time spread of it is far shorter than the 20 years of expected production currently in reserve. Taking these factors into consideration, we think options contracts are good for American Barrick to hedge risk in short-term period. Spot deferred contract has some characteristics of forward sale but is more flexible since the SEC sellers have a choice when to deliver the gold. Though the threshold for this vehicle to hedge risk is very high, only for companies in good shape in terms of reserves, costs and leverage, American Barrick’s excellence qualifies it to implement this vehicle. We regard it a salutary vehicle, to the effect of which the gradually increasing use of it in American Barrick
Their way in was through Abel Corbin, President Grants brother-in-law. For a payment of 1.5 million dollars, Corbin agreed to help with the scheme. They wanted to take over the United States treasury and control everything. Gould’s idea was that if the treasury didn’t sell any gold the price could go from $130 to $150 and this would help the economy. President Grant, by this time, was part of the scheme. He was not fully aware of everything going on but he knew enough. Grant had realized that Gould made a bribe attempt and was outraged by it. This led Gould to realize that his plan may have been falling apart. He figured the only way out before the collapse of the market was to betray his partner. So he did what he felt he could do to save himself. Soon after this the price collapsed into the $130’s and continued to mumble. More and more men were becoming poor at the gold exchange.
The current 50% hedging policy executed at the fund level has served well for OTPP for the past ten years, contributing to the fund’s positive returns. The FX Hedge Program not only has minimized the downside risk, but has also limited the upside potential. If OTPP decided not to implement a hedging program in 1996, they would have lost about $983 million CAD over the ten year period (1995-2005) which is valued at 2% of the portfolio. With the hedging program, OTPP was able to reduce the overall loss to about $469 million CAD, but also limited the gain from the depreciation of the pound.(Exhibit 1) Hedging is an excellent short-term risk minimizing strategy for long term investors, sustaining a continual payout of pensions during volatile times in OTPP’s invested currency markets. Currently, approximately 21% of OTPP’s net assets are exposed to foreign currency risk. Consequently, it is essential that OTPP maintain a risk management program of hedging, as slight currency fluctuations can significantly affect the value of the fund. Similarly to continual renewal of swaps, hedging can be a very expensive risk management strategy.
Mr. Lee and the other executives expect to generate a higher profit from hedging since they have majority of their personal wealth invested into the firm. The focus of any hedging program should always be to minimize the firm’s risk of loss, but that does not mean the they will
10. The current price of silver is $750. Storage costs are $8 per ounce per quarter payable in advance. The interest rate is 12% p.a. with continuous compounding. Calculate the futures price of silver for delivery in six months (to two decimal places).
* AIFS hedged its future cost commitments up to 2 years in advance. The problem was that the hedge had to be put
* Hedging. Hedging with the fuel market could save enough money in one year to offset the next year’s fuel supply and costs.
BHP Billiton is the world’s top producers of major commodities. China, as BHP Billiton’s largest export market, demand strongly influences the BHP Billiton’s operation (Western Australian Iron Ore Industry Profile 2015). According to the annual report of BHP Billiton (2015), China brought about 36.6% revenue in the amount of total export revenue for BHP Billiton, among the largest product is Iron Ore, which was 66% in 2015. Meanwhile, the forecast of iron ore will continue to increase production. However, Chinese steel consumption may growth slow next few years (shows in figure 1) because the real estate industry decline (Mark 2015). Therefore, oversupply and weaker demand may create the fluctuations in commodity prices which related to commodity risk.
In order to reduce risk, the company is using two hedging derivatives: forward contracts and put options to sell dollars. The aim of the paper is to determine an appropriate hedging policy which answers two main questions: how much to hedge, and in what proportions of forwards
Through the 1980s and early 1990s, as American Barrick’s reserves and financial strength improved and the market for gold-hedging vehicles matured, the company’s risk management activities grew in size and complexity. The firm used every instrument available to manage its gold price risk.
Established in January 1999, Pine Street Capital (PSC) was a market-neutral hedge fund that specialized in the technology field, facing market risk and trying to decide whether and which way to use in order to hedge equity market risk. They choose technology sector because the partners of PSC felt that they have enough ability to evaluate this sector and specially be good at picking out-performing stock. Short-selling of NASDAQ and options hedging strategy are the two major hedging choices for PSC. Either strategy has its own advantages in different economic periods and conditions. The fund has just through one of the most volatile periods in NASDAQ 's history, and it was trying to decide whether it should continue its risk management
First, I would like to consider the economic theory behind the gold rush and explain why on the surface; it is quite simple. Consider a modern theoretical case. Say a family of four is living in Cincinnati, Ohio and the main earner of the family works for a tool manufacturing company in Cincinnati. Suppose that the company decides during their yearly employee reviews that they aren’t going to give this certain individual a pay raise for the next year; also suppose that the employee does not see themselves climbing up the pay scale any further. Now suppose that this person is offered a thirty thousand dollar per year raise if they move out to Los Angeles, California for a new machine related job. Assuming
Hedge funds are investment vehicles that explicitly pursue absolute returns on their underlying investments. Hedge Fund incorporate to any absolute return fund investing within the financial markets (stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, derivatives, etc) and/or applying non-traditional portfolio management techniques including, but not restricted to, shorting, leveraging, arbitrage, swaps, etc. Hedge funds can invest in any number of strategies. Hedge fund managers typically invest money of their own in the fund they manage, which serves to align their interests with
Describes the evolution of gold’s value from the peak of peoples’ interest in it to its recent downfall. The article begins by explaining the price of gold. It then gives three reasons for owning gold. The first one being “gold mining production to decline over the next years by 7%, which in turn will support gold prices.” It also states that even though the price for gold has decreased to 1,100 an ounce it is expected to increases do with this factor. A Wall Street Journal, article “ The Case for Gold ” by Lindsay Gellman starts off by describing how gold prices have dropped in the recent years, butt then argues that the key to gold is not to think of the now but to think of the long term. It states that even though prices are low, in the long run, they will double. Just like the Forbes article Gellman’s article argues that “gold Supply will likely Plateau or drop, pushing prices up.” Both of these articles suggest that by 2020 the price of gold will be more than $2,000 an ounce, saying it is best to start buying now. They both point to historical and contemporary moments, and reasons that buying gold will be beneficial in the long
General Motors was the world’s largest automaker and, since 1931, the world’s sales leader. In 2001, GM had unit sales of 8.5 million vehicles and a 15.1% worldwide market share. Founded in 1908, GM had manufacturing operations in more than 30 countries, and its vehicles were sold in approximately 200 countries. In 2000, it generated earnings of $4.4 billion on sales of $184.6 billion. The company is trying to accurately calculate the risk of a potential devaluation to the ARS. In doing so the company had to decide between two options on how to proceed; was it worth the costs to increase the size of GM’s hedge position beyond the standard policy or should GM Argentina rely on other approaches to cope with the expected
He could take a put option to exercise a futures contract (against the price of aluminum at that moment), he would only do this if the prices won’t be as high as expected. If the prices behave like the expectations or even better, Bierbaum won’t have to exercise the put option.