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- 5. During the COVID-19 pandemic, a firm's revenue declines continuously so that the revenue, TR (measured in millions of pesos), in t years' time is modeled by TR=5e015t . (a) Calculate the current revenue and also the revenue in two years' time and (b) After how many years will the revenue decline to P2.7 million?The following table shows the sales volumes for company XYZ in millions of KES. Use the belowinformation to forecast the sales volumes in in 2022, 2023, 2024. 2026.Year2012203320142015201620172018201920202021Sales 220024003200450055009000150010800163009500 Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.Suppose you regress the annual percentage stock price returns on Russell 2000 small cap index for on a the percentage annual returns for a market index. Use the following output from this linear regression to answer questions a. - f. a. What is the formula for the Russell 2000's characteristic line? b. You forecast a market return of 6% next year. According to the market model, what is next year's expected return for the Russell 2000 index? c. What is the correlation between the return on the Russell 2000 and the return on the market Index? d. How much of the variation in the Russell 2000's returns are explained by the model? e. Based on these regression results, the Russell 2000 index would be considered what kind of an investment, defensive, aggressive, or market neutral? f. Does this regression have much explanatory power? Why or why not?
- Along with many other producers, you own a small oil well. The market is very competitive. Themarginal extraction cost is $10 per barrel. The interest rate is 5%. The annual demand for oil isQ = 90,000 – 2,000P where Q is in barrels per year and P is in dollars per barrel.Use your knowledge about Hotelling’s Rule to answer the following questions: Oil is trading for $25/bbl on Jan 1st, 1999. What do you expect the path of oil pricesand extraction quantities to be from 1999-2010 (assuming no shocks to the market)?A day later, on Jan 2nd, 1999, the Wall Street Journal opens with a story that there is now amore reliable reserves estimate. Total reserves are estimated at 760,000 barrels. b. What is the oil price directly after this news becomes public? When will the worldrun out of oil, assuming no more oil is discovered? [Hint: use a spreadsheet.]You have a couple million dollars to spend on Dec 31st, 1999. You decide to quickly buy out allsmall oil producers. By Jan 1st, 2000, you are…Along with many other producers, you own a small oil well. The market is very competitive. Themarginal extraction cost is $10 per barrel. The interest rate is 5%. The annual demand for oil isQ = 90,000 – 2,000P where Q is in barrels per year and P is in dollars per barrel.Use your knowledge about Hotelling’s Rule to answer the following questions: Oil is trading for $25/bbl on Jan 1st, 1999. What do you expect the path of oil pricesand extraction quantities to be from 1999-2010 (assuming no shocks to the market)?A day later, on Jan 2nd, 1999, the Wall Street Journal opens with a story that there is now amore reliable reserves estimate. Total reserves are estimated at 760,000 barrels.A department store is about to order deluxe, standard, and economy grade DVD players for next year's inventory. The state of the nation's economy (fate) during the year will be a factor on sales for that year. Records over the past 5 years show that if the economy is up, the store will net 4, 2, and 1 million dollers, respectively, on sales of deluxe, standard, and economy grade models; if the economy is down, the company will net -2, 1, and 4 million dollars, respectively, on sales of deluxe, standard, and economy grade models. Complete parts A through D below. The expected value of the game to the company if it orders only deluxe DVD players and fate plays the strategy "Down" is | (Simplify your answer.) The expected value of the game to the company if it plays its optimal strategy and fate plays the strategy "Down" is (Simplify your answer.)
- Estimate the double-log (log linear) time trend model for log cruise ship arrivals against log time. Estimate a linear time trend model of cruise ship arrivals against time. Calculate the root mean square error between the predicted and actual value of cruise ship arrivals. Is the root mean square error greater for the double log non-linear time trend model or for the linear time trend model?Bell Greenhouses has estimated its monthly demand for potting soil to be the following: N=400+4X where N=monthlydemandforbagsofpottingsoil X=timeperiodsinmonths(March2006=0) Assume this trend factor is expected to remain stable in the foreseeable future. The following table contains the monthly seasonal adjustment factors, which have been estimated using actual sales data from the past five years: Forecast Bell Greenhouses demand for potting soil in March, June, August, and December 2007. If the following table shows the forecasted and actual potting soil sales by Bell Greenhouses for April in five different years, determine the seasonal adjustment factor to be used in making an April 2008 forecast.A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table. *Unkown future value to be forecast Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (with a w=0.9 and a w=0.3). Note The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming Y t+1=Yt. Using the forecasts from 2005 through 2009, compare the accuracy of each of the forecasting methods based on the RMSE criterion. Which forecast would you have used for 2010? Why?
- 20 → Using the following Water Purifier prediction interval example f rom the text, how would you describe the probability or likelihood that an 1800 GPH purifier would cost between what price intervals?* Enter the GPH for which you desire an estimate: Your estimated Price is: Prediction Interval (+/-) Confidence Level: Range 90.0% 2,380 Low 4,071.31 1,800 5,261.08 OK ✓ Estimate High 5,261.08 6,450.85 A There is a 98% likelihood that an 1800 GPH purifier would cost between $4,071 and $6,450.85 [B] There is a 90% likelihood that an 1800 GPH purifier would cost between $4,071 and $5,261.08. c There is a 90% likelihood that an 1800 GPH purifier would cost between $4,071 and $6,450.85 D] There is a 98% likelihood that an 1800 GPH purifier would cost between $4,071 and $5,261.08.10 00 Interest Rate (%) N B Investment Demand 0 $30 60 90 120 150 Investment ($) Price Level Multiple Choice AS Real GDP ($) AD₁ (1=120) AD₂ (1=90) *AD3 (1=60) Refer to the graphs, in which the numbers in parentheses near the AD₁, AD2, and AD3 labels indicate the level of investment spending associated with each curve. All numbers are in billions of dollars. The interest rate and the level of investment spending in the economy are at point D on the investment demand curve. To achieve the long-run goal of a noninflationary, full-employment output Qfin the economy, the Fed should try to decrease aggregate demand by increasing the interest rate from 2 to 4 percent. decrease aggregate demand by increasing the interest rate from 4 to 6 percent. increase aggregate demand by decreasing the interest rate from 4 to 2 percent. increase the level of investment spending from $120 billion to $150 billion.A herbal tea producer company has 24 different products in the market, each are produced in one of the 3 factories owned by the company. The weights of the products in monthly sales may vary depending on time of the year (demands of certain products shift to others in each of the 4 seasons), age of the products and market conditions, but yearly aggregate demand has a very strong correlation with the price of the product (Here, we ignore any other factor and assume that the yearly aggregate demand is directly and linearly effected by the price). The company found out that when the price for a packet of 20 herbal tea bags is 10 TL, yearly demand is 175000 packets. When the price increases to 11 TL, demand decreases to 174650 packets. On the cost side, the company has 2900000 TL of yearly administrative costs regardless of the price or the number of units sold, including the rents, depreciation of the buildings and other related assets and salaries of 58 workers (average monthly salary…
