Suppose that a person's utility function is the square root of wealth. Suppose the person earns $100,000 per year. He or she has an illness with a probability of 0.2, and the cost of the treatment is $30,000. Would the person pay $6,000 for insurance? Why or why not? What is the most this person would pay to be insured (hint: equate expected utility to utility with certainty)? Suppose their utility function changed to wealth squared (hint: are they now risk averse?). Would they pay $6,000 for insurance? Why or why not?
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- Michael lives on an island and owns a beach house worth $400,000. Of that, $100,000 is the cost of land and $300,000 is the cost of the structure. The probability that a hurricane destroys his house is 3percent (he will still own the land). Michael can purchase hurricane insurance at the price of $2for each $100 of coverage. 1. What is Michael’s contingent consumption bundle if Michael does not purchase insuranceAnita bought a new scooter for $500. She is deciding whether she should insureher scooter against theft. She has recently read in the news that one out of 10 scooters arestolen in her town. She can buy scooter theft insurance at the price of 12 cents per $1 ofinsurance. How much insurance will Anita buy if her utility function is U(C) = 2C + 100?ease use utility of wealth function in the booK, 8-1 (see below). Certainty Utility B D 200 198 194 D' Total utility 170 of wealth C' Expected Utility A 140 10,000 15,000 19,000 20,000 Wealth FIGURE 8-1 Total Utility of Wealth and the Impact of Insurance Please explain the difference between the certainty utility line and the expected utility line b. Calculate your E(U), given an 80% change of being healthy and 20% of being sick, knowing that your income falls to $10,000 and your utility is 140 if you get sick. Calculate your E(W), given an 80% change of being healthy and 20% of being sick. d. Given that your Certainty Utility Function is U = 200Y-0.00154 and Y is your income, what is your Certainty Utility with insurance (if you are risk averse) What insurance premium will you pay to guarantee a utility of 197? Please provide a calculation.
- Adam presently makes about $40,000 of interest income per year. He realizes that there is about a 5 percent probability that he may suffer a heart attack. The cost of treatment will be about $20,000 if a heart attack occurs. A. Calculate Adam's expected utility level without any health insurance coverage. B. Calculate Adam's expected income without any insurance coverage. C. Suppose Adam must pay a premium of $1,500 for health insurance coverage with BlueCross Blue Shields insurance. Would he buy the health insurance? Why or why not?1. Suppose a person's utility is equal to U = Y and the initial income is $80,000. Medical expenses for a sick person amount to $40,000 and the probability of getting sick is 25%. Assume that the individual is required to pay the actuarially fair premium (r = p * M). a. b. What is the expected income when you are healthy? When you are sick? What is the expected utility if you buy insurance? What is the expected utility without insurance? C. What is the actuarially fair premium for the individual? d. Graph the individual's utility function. Clearly indicate the expected disposable income, utility with insurance, and expected utility without insurance. What is the dollar value of the individual's risk premium? Show this on the graph. How much is the individual willing to pay for insurance? e. f.A risk-averse consumer with $100,000 in wealth faces 0.1 probability of losing half of his wealth within the next year. a. What is the consumer's expected wealth one year from now? b. An insurance company offers our consumer full insurance against the possible loss. What premium must the consumer be charged for the insurance company to expect to break even? Explain. c. Suppose our risk-averse consumer is indifferent between getting $85,000 wealthith certainty and facing the above described uncertain situation. What is the maximum premium that the insurance company will be able to charge this consumer for its full insurance policy? Explain
- Utility Theory You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000. A. Apply Bayes’ decision rule to determine which alternative (take the insurance or not) maximizes yourexpected assets after one year.Nathan's income in a typical year is 75,000. There is a 10 percent chance that Nathan will be seriously ill next year, incurring 15,000 in medical expenses. Samantha also earns 75,000 in a typical year. Her chance of becoming seriously ill next year and incurring ur 15,000 in medical expenses is 20 percent. a. Calculate the actuarially fair premium for full insurance for (i) Nathan and (ii) Samantha. b. Suppose that a private insurance firm cannot distinguish between Nathan and Samantha in terms of their risk and assumes the risk of being seriously ill in the general population is 10%. In this context, discuss the adverse selection problem the firm might face. c. Can a compulsory, government - run health insurance program avoid the problem of adverse selection? Explain why or why not.2. Two individuals have the same income ($100,000), but different potential healthcare expenses. Person A's probability of having $80,000 in healthcare expenses is 0.5 percent. Person B's probability of having $800 in healthcare expenses is 50 percent. Assume your utility is U = VI where I is your income. Calculate each person's expected income and expected utility. Calculate each person's certainty equivalent. What does value of the certainty equivalent tell you about how much each person would be willing to insure against their loss?
- 1. Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,00 A. Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. B. What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?2. Suppose that a farmer usually makes profit of $120,000 per year. Let's say that there is a 2% chance that a tornado will hit the farm. This would strongly hurt farmer's profit, leading to losses of $96,000 with 2% probability. a. What is the actuarially fair insurance? b. Assume that the farmer utility is given by u = T 0.5 where t represents profit. What is the farmer's expected utility with no insurance? c. How much would the farmer be willing to pay to have insurance? d. Assume that the farmer expects that the tornado's effect to your farm is lower, only leading to losses of $70,000. i. What is the actuarially fair insurance? ii. What is the farmer's expected utility with no insurance? iii. How much would the farmer be willing to pay to have insurance? iv. What is the risk premium?An individual has 40,000 in income per year. The person will get sick with probability 0.1. If he does get sick, the medical bills will total 30,000. The following tables shows the utility derived from certain amounts of income: Income Utility40,000 20037,000 19535,000 19030,000 17020,000 14010,000 100Considering the probability of illness, what is the expected utility of income without insurance? Show your work.