LEAD.305.HSF1 Adaptive Decision Making Watch TED TALK in Video section: Three Steps to better decision making This class is all about giving you different tools for decision making in business. This Ted talk describes another method that you might find helpful at some point in making decisions. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? TO DO; YOU NEED TO RESPONSE TO YOUR (4) CLASSMATES POST ANSWER TO THE QUESTION ABOVE. EXAMPLE(Hello MATE!, thanks for your post. I agree with your points about the three steps to better decision making. It's important to challenge the constraints and consider alternative approaches. Embracing a pre-mortem can help us anticipate potential failures and make better decisions. Checking the basics is also crucial, especially when working in teams. In my experience, I have used the step of challenging the constraints when faced with a difficult problem at work. Instead of sticking to traditional methods, I encouraged my team to think outside the box and explore new possibilities. This led us to find a more innovative and efficient solution. How do you think the step of "checking the basics" can help avoid costly mistakes or oversights in decision-making processes?) CLASSMATE POST #1 1. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Challenge the constraints Regarding checking the constraints, this step is a matter of considering prescribed outcomes are not the only outcomes. Most decisions in our day-to-day life are relatively straight forward. This causes us to think outcomes are limited to a small set of possible outcomes. However, in crisis situations challenging constraints may be the only option. Therefore, we must think beyond constraints to better understand the limits of our decisions. Embrace a pre-mortem My thought about this step’s message is decision makers should extract lessons learned before they happen. This is not the first time I’ve heard it mentioned. In previous classes I learned project management teams are using pre-mortems more often to forecast pitfalls before they occur. A great benefit is, those skeptical about projects have room to speak up and voice their opinion in pre-mortems. According to Harvard Business Review, “By making it safe for dissenters who are knowledgeable about the undertaking and worried about its weaknesses to speak up, you can improve a project’s chances of success.” (Klein, 2014). (Before you decide) Check the basics I thought this step was obvious, yet so few people do it. I think a large part of it is complacency. When we become comfortable with a basic task, we tend to avert our attention towards more complex issues. As a result, we forget to double check processes considered basic. Checking the basics is great last step. 2 . Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? One example of “challenge the constraints” I experienced was in Korea in 2010. I was working air traffic control on a mid-shift. A flight of two recovering aircraft were low on fuel but chose to not declare an emergency (low fuel is a common emergency). Bad weather covered their landing destination. In air traffic, judgement calls are highly relevant on a day-to-day basis. I chose to declare them an emergency aircraft, despite procedural constraints, which granted them direct airport access. After successful landing, I learned the aircraft did not have enough fuel to miss the landing and would have to eject. In this case deciding beyond constraints was crucial in saving 4 lives. This step lands home with me personally. MY RESPONSE 1: CLASSMATE POST #2 Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Challenge constraints: To challenge constraints, one must first investigate and then reconsider previously established assumptions and boundaries. It challenges established norms, thereby fostering original thought. By adopting a broader perspective and thinking laterally, we can identify unanticipated opportunities and different perspectives. It challenges us to think outside the box and motivates us to pursue noble objectives and novel approaches. Embrace the pre-mortem: The pre-mortem method involves acting as if a project or decision has already failed and analyzing what went wrong. If we can anticipate potential pitfalls and obstacles, we can take measures to mitigate any potential damage. Using this technique, we can identify any vulnerabilities, blind spots, or defects that were overlooked during the planning phase. Adopting the pre-mortem procedure improves our decision-making and action-taking abilities. Check the basics: To ensure the accomplishment of a decision or endeavor, we must consider all possible outcomes. It is easy to lose sight of the fundamentals during elevated ambitions and extensive plans. The success of our initiative is contingent on a thorough analysis of the fundamentals. The subsequent step is to assess the viability, dependability, and applicability of our ideas considering any relevant constraints. Paying close attention to the fundamentals decreases the likelihood of overlooking something essential and increases the likelihood of achieving success. Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? My trading experience has taught me the value of checking the basics. I was initially attracted to trading due to its promise of easily generating wealth. However, I soon realized that I lacked a solid understanding of the fundamentals. I knew it was time to reconsider my strategy when I began to incur losses in the thousands of dollars. At that time, I decided to double-check the fundamentals. I realized I lacked the necessary knowledge and skills for trading and set out to acquire them on my own. I chose to educate myself on trading in my own time by reading books, exploring websites, and attending webinars. I also joined a trading group to obtain advice and suggestions from more seasoned traders. I discovered that taking the time and making the effort to comprehend the fundamentals enabled me to make better decisions and reduce the risk associated with my trades. The classes I took in market dynamics, risk management, and technical analysis enabled me to gain a deeper understanding of these topics. Due to these steps, my trading performance improved. I gained comfort in my ability to accurately assess market conditions and make smart trading decisions. Even though trading is still difficult and requires continuous improvement, I now have a greater comprehension of the fundamentals than I did previously. MY RESPONSE 2: CLASSMATE POST#3 1. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? This was a pretty good clip and brought up some interesting points in the examples Matthew Confer presented. When he discussed “challenge the constraints”, I liked his example of the Stanford students. Far too often we zero in on our tasks and look past the constraints. I know I have done this countless times without realizing an addressing a constraint could have made my task easier. Embracing a pre-mortum was an interesting one with his example of the cobra effect. I really like this step, because in my experience I have seen far too often good idea fairies implement policy and changes without considering how failure would look like. I think this is a crucial step in decision-making since there is always a cause and effect to the decisions we make. As a decision maker, checking the basics is crucial, and the example of the Mars mission it showed how detrimental a mistake at that scale could result in. I think this is an easy step that does get missed a lot, especially when there are multiple people or teams working on one project. I think this is a very important step, and it made me reflect on some of the tasks I am working on at work with other people. 2. Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? A personal example of using check the basics would be in my job field where we are required to conduct comprehensive analytics within a specific region. The goal is to provide accurate and timely intelligence assessments, which are used to inform our senior decision-makers. When I was deployed, it was crucial as the shop lead, I checked the basics of the analysis we were putting forward. During one situation, two of our analysts were using old data in a brief they were creating, and when I went to look over their product I recognized their information wasn’t current. Part of being able to recognize their old data, was the briefs I attended and reports I read daily. We were able to refine the brief they were going to present and were able to provide the most up-to-date information for our commander. MY RESPONSE 3: CLASSMATE POST#4 Hello Professor and Class, I can appreciate this approach to better decision making. These simple steps help to recall ways to maximize opportunities and not get stuck with looking at all the ways to fail. The scenarios used by the presenter, Matthew Confer, examples were inspirational to look back and see how to apply this model. I love the first step of challenging constraints. It motivates me to identify the potential roadblocks and to assess the amount of work and effort required to challenge. It is an opportunity to evaluate the trajectory of the decision. I am fortunate to be on a team that supports challenging constraints. I am currently developing a training course that impacts a significant number of personnel. There is an emerging process initiated by the training group. This new process is evolving while I have been developing the training creating a barrier to the end results. Our team has considered the new process and have decided to continue to move forward. We have decided that it is worth sending the course out and have developed alternatives to ensure the training is published. Embracing the pre-mortem is meaningful to decide if we are going to get “the bang for our buck”. It is important to determine if you can finish, meet, or come close to achieving the goal, prior to starting out. It is especially important to determine this if you are working within a particular budget. You also want to determine the impact of the decision as there may be additional goals to meet. Lastly, checking the basics is crucial. As John Wooten states, “little things make big things happen.” I have been in situations that I would rather not be in due to not checking and double checking my work. I find that it is best for me to partner with someone else to double check the details. In my current role, I have integrated a checks and balance process to ensure the details are reviewed by several others. Your RESPONSE 4:?

Solve please. Need only last response of your what u will say. LEAD.305.HSF1 Adaptive Decision Making Watch TED TALK in Video section: Three Steps to better decision making This class is all about giving you different tools for decision making in business. This Ted talk describes another method that you might find helpful at some point in making decisions. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? TO DO; YOU NEED TO RESPONSE TO YOUR (4) CLASSMATES POST ANSWER TO THE QUESTION ABOVE. EXAMPLE(Hello MATE!, thanks for your post. I agree with your points about the three steps to better decision making. It's important to challenge the constraints and consider alternative approaches. Embracing a pre-mortem can help us anticipate potential failures and make better decisions. Checking the basics is also crucial, especially when working in teams. In my experience, I have used the step of challenging the constraints when faced with a difficult problem at work. Instead of sticking to traditional methods, I encouraged my team to think outside the box and explore new possibilities. This led us to find a more innovative and efficient solution. How do you think the step of "checking the basics" can help avoid costly mistakes or oversights in decision-making processes?) CLASSMATE POST #1 1. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Challenge the constraints Regarding checking the constraints, this step is a matter of considering prescribed outcomes are not the only outcomes. Most decisions in our day-to-day life are relatively straight forward. This causes us to think outcomes are limited to a small set of possible outcomes. However, in crisis situations challenging constraints may be the only option. Therefore, we must think beyond constraints to better understand the limits of our decisions. Embrace a pre-mortem My thought about this step’s message is decision makers should extract lessons learned before they happen. This is not the first time I’ve heard it mentioned. In previous classes I learned project management teams are using pre-mortems more often to forecast pitfalls before they occur. A great benefit is, those skeptical about projects have room to speak up and voice their opinion in pre-mortems. According to Harvard Business Review, “By making it safe for dissenters who are knowledgeable about the undertaking and worried about its weaknesses to speak up, you can improve a project’s chances of success.” (Klein, 2014). (Before you decide) Check the basics I thought this step was obvious, yet so few people do it. I think a large part of it is complacency. When we become comfortable with a basic task, we tend to avert our attention towards more complex issues. As a result, we forget to double check processes considered basic. Checking the basics is great last step. 2 . Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? One example of “challenge the constraints” I experienced was in Korea in 2010. I was working air traffic control on a mid-shift. A flight of two recovering aircraft were low on fuel but chose to not declare an emergency (low fuel is a common emergency). Bad weather covered their landing destination. In air traffic, judgement calls are highly relevant on a day-to-day basis. I chose to declare them an emergency aircraft, despite procedural constraints, which granted them direct airport access. After successful landing, I learned the aircraft did not have enough fuel to miss the landing and would have to eject. In this case deciding beyond constraints was crucial in saving 4 lives. This step lands home with me personally. MY RESPONSE 1: CLASSMATE POST #2 Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? Challenge constraints: To challenge constraints, one must first investigate and then reconsider previously established assumptions and boundaries. It challenges established norms, thereby fostering original thought. By adopting a broader perspective and thinking laterally, we can identify unanticipated opportunities and different perspectives. It challenges us to think outside the box and motivates us to pursue noble objectives and novel approaches. Embrace the pre-mortem: The pre-mortem method involves acting as if a project or decision has already failed and analyzing what went wrong. If we can anticipate potential pitfalls and obstacles, we can take measures to mitigate any potential damage. Using this technique, we can identify any vulnerabilities, blind spots, or defects that were overlooked during the planning phase. Adopting the pre-mortem procedure improves our decision-making and action-taking abilities. Check the basics: To ensure the accomplishment of a decision or endeavor, we must consider all possible outcomes. It is easy to lose sight of the fundamentals during elevated ambitions and extensive plans. The success of our initiative is contingent on a thorough analysis of the fundamentals. The subsequent step is to assess the viability, dependability, and applicability of our ideas considering any relevant constraints. Paying close attention to the fundamentals decreases the likelihood of overlooking something essential and increases the likelihood of achieving success. Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? My trading experience has taught me the value of checking the basics. I was initially attracted to trading due to its promise of easily generating wealth. However, I soon realized that I lacked a solid understanding of the fundamentals. I knew it was time to reconsider my strategy when I began to incur losses in the thousands of dollars. At that time, I decided to double-check the fundamentals. I realized I lacked the necessary knowledge and skills for trading and set out to acquire them on my own. I chose to educate myself on trading in my own time by reading books, exploring websites, and attending webinars. I also joined a trading group to obtain advice and suggestions from more seasoned traders. I discovered that taking the time and making the effort to comprehend the fundamentals enabled me to make better decisions and reduce the risk associated with my trades. The classes I took in market dynamics, risk management, and technical analysis enabled me to gain a deeper understanding of these topics. Due to these steps, my trading performance improved. I gained comfort in my ability to accurately assess market conditions and make smart trading decisions. Even though trading is still difficult and requires continuous improvement, I now have a greater comprehension of the fundamentals than I did previously. MY RESPONSE 2: CLASSMATE POST#3 1. Discuss your thoughts on each of the three steps to better decision making? This was a pretty good clip and brought up some interesting points in the examples Matthew Confer presented. When he discussed “challenge the constraints”, I liked his example of the Stanford students. Far too often we zero in on our tasks and look past the constraints. I know I have done this countless times without realizing an addressing a constraint could have made my task easier. Embracing a pre-mortum was an interesting one with his example of the cobra effect. I really like this step, because in my experience I have seen far too often good idea fairies implement policy and changes without considering how failure would look like. I think this is a crucial step in decision-making since there is always a cause and effect to the decisions we make. As a decision maker, checking the basics is crucial, and the example of the Mars mission it showed how detrimental a mistake at that scale could result in. I think this is an easy step that does get missed a lot, especially when there are multiple people or teams working on one project. I think this is a very important step, and it made me reflect on some of the tasks I am working on at work with other people. 2. Give an example of how you have used one or more of the steps? A personal example of using check the basics would be in my job field where we are required to conduct comprehensive analytics within a specific region. The goal is to provide accurate and timely intelligence assessments, which are used to inform our senior decision-makers. When I was deployed, it was crucial as the shop lead, I checked the basics of the analysis we were putting forward. During one situation, two of our analysts were using old data in a brief they were creating, and when I went to look over their product I recognized their information wasn’t current. Part of being able to recognize their old data, was the briefs I attended and reports I read daily. We were able to refine the brief they were going to present and were able to provide the most up-to-date information for our commander. MY RESPONSE 3: CLASSMATE POST#4 Hello Professor and Class, I can appreciate this approach to better decision making. These simple steps help to recall ways to maximize opportunities and not get stuck with looking at all the ways to fail. The scenarios used by the presenter, Matthew Confer, examples were inspirational to look back and see how to apply this model. I love the first step of challenging constraints. It motivates me to identify the potential roadblocks and to assess the amount of work and effort required to challenge. It is an opportunity to evaluate the trajectory of the decision. I am fortunate to be on a team that supports challenging constraints. I am currently developing a training course that impacts a significant number of personnel. There is an emerging process initiated by the training group. This new process is evolving while I have been developing the training creating a barrier to the end results. Our team has considered the new process and have decided to continue to move forward. We have decided that it is worth sending the course out and have developed alternatives to ensure the training is published. Embracing the pre-mortem is meaningful to decide if we are going to get “the bang for our buck”. It is important to determine if you can finish, meet, or come close to achieving the goal, prior to starting out. It is especially important to determine this if you are working within a particular budget. You also want to determine the impact of the decision as there may be additional goals to meet. Lastly, checking the basics is crucial. As John Wooten states, “little things make big things happen.” I have been in situations that I would rather not be in due to not checking and double checking my work. I find that it is best for me to partner with someone else to double check the details. In my current role, I have integrated a checks and balance process to ensure the details are reviewed by several others. Your RESPONSE 4:?