a) What is the optimal level of safety stock? b) What is the probability of stock out?
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Krishna cables requires aluminium for its factory. The probability distributions of the daily usage rate and the lead time for procurement are given below. (These distributions are independent.)
Daily Usage Rate in Tonnes: 2, 3, 4
Probability: 0.2, 0.6, 0.2
Lead time in days: 25, 35, 45
Probability: 0.2, 0.5, 0.3
The stockout cost is estimated at ₹8,000 per ton and the carrying cost is ₹2,000 per ton per year.
Question.1) a) What is the optimal level of safety stock?
b) What is the probability of stock out?
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Assume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.
- The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day's paper for $0.45 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.40. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 340 and standard deviation = 68. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given a-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) 8 Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Optimal order quantity 0.05 b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) * Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Probability 3 X %Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day’s paper for $0.50 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.25. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 335 and standard deviation = 67. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given α-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)
- Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day's paper for $0.30 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.10. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 265 and standard deviation = 53. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given a-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) Optimal order quantity b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) ProbabilityDemand for stereo headphones and music players for joggers has caused Nina Industries to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nina expects demand for headsets to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demand for the players for this year was as follows: MONTH DEMAND (UNITS) January 4,150 February 4,250 March 3,950 April 4,350 May 4,950 June 4,650 July 5,250 August 4,850 September 5,350 October 5,650 November 6,250 December 5,950 a. Using linear regression analysis, what would you estimate demand to be for each month next year? Using a spreadsheet, follow the general format in Exhibit 3.8. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) b. To be reasonably confident of meeting demand, Nina decides to use 3 standard errors of estimate for safety. How many additional units should be held to meet this…Downtown Health Clinic needs to order influenza vaccinesfor the next flu season. The Clinic charges its patients $15.00per vaccination and each dose of vaccine costs the clinic$4.00 to purchase. The Center for Disease Control has a longstanding policy of buying back unused vaccines for $1.00 perdose. The Clinic estimates the following probability distribu-tion for the season’s demand:Demand Probability2,000 0.053,000 0.204,000 0.255,000 0.406,000 0.10 a. How many vaccines should the Clinic order to maximizeits expected profit?b. The Clinic is trying to determine if they should participatein a new Federal program in which the cost of each dose isreduced to $2.00. However, to participate in the program,they can charge no more than $10.00 per vaccine. Onstrictly a profit maximizing basis, should the Clinic agreeto participate?
- Phillip Witt, president of Witt Input Devices, wishesto create a portfolio of local suppliers for his new line of keyboards.As the suppliers all reside in a location prone to hurricanes,tornadoes, flooding, and earthquakes, Phillip believes thatthe probability in any year of a " super-event" that might shutdown all suppliers at the same time for at least 2 weeks is 3%.Such a total shutdown would cost the company approximately$400,000. He estimates the " unique-event" risk for any of thesuppliers to be 5%. Assuming that the marginal cost of managingan additional supplier is $15,000 per year, how many suppliersshould Witt Input Devices use? Assume that up to three nearlyidentical local suppliers are available.for managing its data processing operation: continuing with its own staff, hiring an outside vendor to do the managing (referred to as outsourcing), or using a combination of its own staff and an outside vendor. The cost of the operation depends on future demand. The annual cost of each option (in thousands) depends on demand as follows. DEMAND STAFFING OPTIONS HIGH MEDIUM LOW Own Staff 650 650 600 Outside Vendor 900 600 300 Combination 800 650 500 Based on decision analysis under uncertainty, determine the best decision each of the model. Then compare all the model decision to make it overall conclusion.A landscaping company want to plan for the number of employees it needs to hire for upcoming year. In order to do planning it is good to know the demand for landscape for the previous years. The following table shows the demand for landscaping from 2019 to 2020. Help the company to forecast the demand for 2021. Period Demand Winter 2019 23 Spring 2019 1000 Summer 2019 1300 Fall 2019 200 Winter 2020 34 Spring 2020 1050 Summer 2020 1340 Fall 2020 330 show work