17. Consider two exchange rates X/Y and Z/Y. (For example EUR/USD and JPY/USD.) They both follow perfectly correlated geometric Brownian motions with parameters (1,01) and (μ2, 02). (a) The cross-exchange rate X/Z (for example EUR/JPY) follows a standard Brownian motion (b) The cross-exchange rate X/Z (for example EUR/JPY) follows a general Brownian motion (c) The cross-exchange rate X/Z (for example EUR/JPY) follows a geometric Brownian motion (d) The cross-exchange rate X/Z (for example EUR/JPY) does not follow a geometric Brownian motion
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- Suppose that a US-based company is buying Chinese goods. Current exchange rate for Chinese Yuan is 0.15 USD. The price of goods is ¥13,000 per unit. The company is buying 800 units per year with a fixed contract for the next two years. Suppose that Chinese Yuan appreciate to 0.2 USD in the next year. The US importer will respond to this by lowering the demand to 600 units in the third year. Plot the J- curve (write the amounts for month 1, 2 and 3)Japan and the United States are major trading partners and the exchange rate between the Japanese yen and the United States dollar is determined in a flexible foreign exchange market.(a) Assume real income increased in the United States. Draw a correctly labeled graph of the foreign exchange market for the yen, and show the effect of the increased real income in the United States on the equilibrium exchange rate for the yen.(b) Will each of the following increase, decrease, or stay the same as a result of the increase in the United States real income?(i) Japan's net exports. Explain.(ii) Unemployment in Japan. Explain.(iii) Japan's long-run aggregate supply(c) Assume instead household savings increased in the United States. Draw a correctly labeled graph of the loanable funds market in the United States, and show the effect of the increase in household savings on the equilibrium real interest rate.(d) Based on the change in the equilibrium real interest rate identified in part (c),…Assume that JA$ 1.00 = GUY $ 2.00. In each scenario below you are asked to find the new value of the Jamaican Dollar (JMD). You will always start a new calculation using the original exchange rate given above. Further, you are required to arrive at a possible explanation for each change and illustrate same on a diagram of the market for Jamaican Dollars. (a) The JMD depreciates by 1%. (b) The JMD depreciates by 3% (c) The JMD appreciates by 2%. (d) The JMD appreciates by 4%.
- 2) Exchange rates and interest rates are connected through the parity conditions. Let the New Zealand interest rate be 5% per annum, the US interest rate be 10% per annum, the spot exchange rate be 0.8USD/1 NZD, and the one year forward exchange rate to be 0.85USD/1 NZD. a) What is the return, in NZD, a New Zealand financial trader would get if they invested 1 NZD in New Zealand? b) What is the return, in NZD, an New Zealand financial trader would get if they invested 1 NZD in the US? [Hint: you'll have to exchange that NZD for USDI] c) As you should find, the values given mean the parity condition does not hold. Given the interest rates are fixed, what will happen to the value of the spot exchange rate now? Think about this in terms of demand and supply for the NZD in the FOREX market, and you may draw out a diagram if you wish. d) Now repeat c) for the change in value of the forward exchange rate.b) Suppose that the current spot exchange rate of U.S. dollars for Australian dollars, Suss/As is 0.757 (i.e. $0.757 US dollar can be received for 1 Australian dollar). The price of Australian-produced goods increases by 5 percent (i.e. inflation in Australia, IPA, is 5 percent), and the U.S. price index increases by 3 percent (i.e. inflation in the United States, IPus, is 3 percent). Calculate the new spot exchange rate of U.S. dollars for Australian dollars that should result from the differences in inflation rates.Suppose the annual interest rate in Australia is 1.5% and the interest rate in the United States is 2%. Suppose the spot USD/AUD exchange rate is $73/AUD and the exchange rate on a futures contract for delivery in one year's time is $75/AUD. (a) Suppose the Australian Reserve Bank increases the cash rate, causing Australian interest rates to rise. All else equal, would the USD/AUD exchange rate increase, decrease, or stay the same? (b) An investor wants to save $6,000 USD for a year and is looking for the option with the highest guaranteed return in USD. Would an investor prefer to save $6,000 USD for a year in the United States or in Australia? To support your answer, calculate the profits under each scenario.
- a) Using the following information, determine each one of the theoretical Exchange Rates (E.R.) according to International Fisher Effect. b) Show how Money Market Arbitrage could be done assuming that the loan is 1,000 units of the currency of the country where the loan is contracted. Determine the profit in the currency in which the loan was contracted. ΜARKET ΜARKET E.R. E.R. COUNTRY CURRENCY INTEREST Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-02 Mexico MXP 12 % 19.56 20.15 Turkey TRY (Lira) 6 % 5.9419 6.07673 Australia AUD 4 % 1.7759 1.81183 Jаpan JPY 8 % 105.866 113.978 United GBP 5 % 0.5991 0.617849 Kingdom (UK) South Korea KRW (Won) 9% 1,658.62 1,793.37 Canada CAD 5 % 1.3736 1.4942 U.S.A.. USD 3%A company manufacturers a product in the United States and sells it in England. The unit cost of manu-facturing is $50. The current exchange rate (dollars per pound) is 1.51. The demand function, which indicateshow many units the company can sell in England as afunction of price (in pounds) is of the power type, withconstant 27556759 and exponent 22.4.a. Develop a model for the company’s profit (indollars) as a function of the price it charges (in pounds). Then use a data table to find the profit-maximizing price to the nearest pound. b. If the exchange rate varies from its current value, doesthe profit-maximizing price increase or decrease?Does the maximum profit increase or decrease?(a) An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model:Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]++0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)].In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers toannual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%, σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollar. Explain your findings in no more than 200 words .(b) An…
- (a) An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model: Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]+ +0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)]. In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers to annual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%,σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollar. Explain your findings in no more than 200 words.…Consider the simultaneous equilibrium in the US money market and the foreign exchange market. In this problem we will analyze the effect of a decline in the future expected exchange rate (expected (E$/€), i.e. expected dollar appreciation. The figure on the right shows the return on dollar deposits as a function of the dollar/euro exchange rate E$/€. 1) Using the 3-point drawing tool, draw the line representing the dollar return on euro deposits. Label this line 'RET-€1'. 2) Using the 3-point drawing tool, draw a new line on the same graph representing the dollar return on euro deposits as the future expected exchange rate falls, and label it 'RET-€2'. Carefully follow the instructions above and only draw the required objects.Assume that the total value of investment transactions between the United States and Mexico is minimal. Also, assume that the total dollar value of trade transactions between these two countries is very large. Now assume that Mexico's inflation has suddenly increased, and Mexican interest rates have suddenly increased. a) Please draw a graph to show how the equilibrium value of Mexican Pesos will change. b) What's more important for Mexican Pesos given the circumstances, change in interest rates, or change in inflation in Mexico?