1. George maximizes expected utility and he has a von-Neumann-Morgenstern utility function u (c) = √c. He has an initial wealth of $1,000. He finds an investment opportunity. The project has a startup cost of $1000, and a 9% chance of success. If the project succeeds, the payoff is $100,000; if it fails, its payoff is $0. (a) Would George invest in this project? (b) Suppose George has an initial wealth of $100, 000 instead of $1,000. Would he invest in this project? (c) Comparing your answers in parts (a) and (b), how does George's risk appetite change? Why?
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- You are evaluating the possibility that your company bids $150,000 for a particular construction job. (a) If a bid of $150,000 corresponds to a relative bid of 1.20, what is the dollar profit that your company would make from winning the job with this bid? Show your work. (b) Calculate an estimate of the expected profit of the bid of $150,000 for this job. Assume that, historically, 55 percent of the bids of an average bidder for this type of job would exceed the bid ratio of 1.20. Assume also that you are bidding against three other construction companies. Show your work.Questions 18 through 20 refer to the following information: Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = vc. Question 18 What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? Question 19 What is his expected utility?4) Consider investors with preferences represented by the utility function U = E(r) – Ao². (a) Draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 10% for an in- vestor with a risk aversion parameter A = 3 in expected return-standard deviation space. (b) In the same graph, draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 15% for an investor with a risk aversion parameter A = 3. (c) In the same graph, draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 10% for an investor with a risk aversion parameter A = 5.
- A manager is deciding whether to build a small or a large facility. Much depends on the future demand that thefacility must serve, and demand may be small or large. The manager knows with certainty the payoffs that willresult under each alternative, shown in the following payoff table. The payoffs (in $000) are the present values offuture revenues minus costs for each alternative in each event.What is the best choice if future demand will be low?2 Consider the two investments listed below with possible outcomes and probabilities: INVESTMENT (in $1000) SAFE RISKY INVESTMENT AMOUNTⓇ 40+ 40+ GOOD SCENARIO OUTCOME 45+ 80+ AVERAGE+ SCENARIO PROB OUTCOME 0.40* 0.40€ 42+ 45+ BAD+ SCENARIO PROB OUTCOME PROB 0.20 35+ 0.20 10+ 0.40€ 0.40+ b) a) Suppose I have utility function U(*) = (x)2. What is the expected utility from each investment? Which investment will I choose, if any? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition. c) What is the value of the risk premium for the SAFE investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition. d) What is the value of the risk premium for the RISKY investment? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition.< +a) (3) Consider two investments X and Y, where X pays $0 and $10 with equal probability and Y pays 0 with probability 0.75 and $20 with probability 0.25. What investment would an investor choose if her utility function is u(x) = x? u(x) = x u(x) = 1-e 10 () (i) (ii)
- a. Mayers & Smith Corp. has a fertilizer plant. The probability of an explosion at the plant depends on how much the firm spends on safety as given by the table below. If an explosion occurs, the loss to society (damaged equipment, death of employees, etc.) is expected to be $250 million. Safety Expenditure $ millions) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 Probability of Loss 0.030 0.020 0.016 0.013 0.011 0.010 Find the optimal level of safety from a societal perspective correct calculation of marginal cost and marginal benefit;: correct optimal amount.Hello can any one help with this Economics question: A contractor spends Dollar 3,000 to prepare for a bid on a construction project which, after deducting manufacturing expenses and the cost of bidding, will yield a profit of dollar 25,000 if the bid is won. If the chance of winning the bid is ten per cent, compute his expected profit and state the likely decision on whether to bid or not to bid?19. An individual has initial wealth Wo = 3 and has the opportunity to invest some quantity of money x in an extremely risky corporate bond. With probability p= 1/4, the bond will be worth 10x at maturity. With probability 1 – p, it will be worth zero. The individual's utility function over final wealth is u(W) = W0.5. What is the level of investment x that maximizes expected utility? (а) 0 (b) 1 (c) 4/3 (d) V3 (e) 2
- Choice under uncertainty Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. 5. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above. (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.Suppose that you have two opportunities to invest $1M. The first will increase the amount invested by 50% with a probability of 0.6 or decrease it with a probability of 0.4. The second will increase it by 5% for certain. You wish to split the $1M between the two opportunities. Let x be the amount invested in the first opportunity with (1-x) invested in the second. Find the optimal value of x. Using expected value as the criterion (linear utility) Using the flowing utility function: u(x)=2.3 ln〖(1+4.5x)6) For the payoff table below, the decision maker will use P(s1) = .15, P(s2) = .5, and P(s3) =.35. S1 S2 S3 D1 -5000 1000 10,000 D2 -15,000 -2000 40,000 What alternative would be chosen according to expected value?b. For a lottery having a payoff of 40,000 with probability p and -15,000 withprobability (1-p), the decision maker expressed the following indifferenceprobabilities. Payoff Probability10,000 .851000 .60-2000 .53-5000 .50 Let U(40,000) = 10 and U(-15,000) = 0 and find the utility value for each payoff. c. What alternative would be chosen according to expected utility?