"Will public support for Putin waver? Currently, most surveys by Russian and Western scholars show ... opinion apparently still behind the war. But the same surveys show that Russians' anxiety and concern are growing. [However, this] ... apparent public support may be misleading. Instead, people hold contradictory opinions, lack a clear position and often give what they perceive to be the "safest" answer. This does not necessarily mean that people are lying to pollsters. Instead, under intense political and, more importantly, social pressure to produce patriotic answers, people express sincere support for the war effort. But research shows that support depends on perceptions of others' opinions and on what is socially acceptable - and so can change quickly. This scenario suggests that Putin and his entourage still have a fight on their hands. If they can convince people that the patriotic, socially respectable interpretation of the war is that it is a civilizational struggle for Russia's very existence and culture, Russia's leadership may survive even a total defeat in this war. If not, Putin could be scapegoated by new leadership. So far, the Kremlin has had the upper hand in the battle on the home front, but this new phase might prove decisive for Putin and his allies." How might a game theorist interpret these results from polling and, in the event things change for the worse from Putin's perspective, what might such a theorist say is the chance that change is likely to be a gradual one or more akin to a convulsive revolution (and why?)?
"Will public support for Putin waver? Currently, most surveys by Russian and Western scholars show ... opinion apparently still behind the war. But the same surveys show that Russians' anxiety and concern are growing. [However, this] ... apparent public support may be misleading. Instead, people hold contradictory opinions, lack a clear position and often give what they perceive to be the "safest" answer. This does not necessarily mean that people are lying to pollsters. Instead, under intense political and, more importantly, social pressure to produce patriotic answers, people express sincere support for the war effort. But research shows that support depends on perceptions of others' opinions and on what is socially acceptable - and so can change quickly. This scenario suggests that Putin and his entourage still have a fight on their hands. If they can convince people that the patriotic, socially respectable interpretation of the war is that it is a civilizational struggle for Russia's very existence and culture, Russia's leadership may survive even a total defeat in this war. If not, Putin could be scapegoated by new leadership. So far, the Kremlin has had the upper hand in the battle on the home front, but this new phase might prove decisive for Putin and his allies." How might a game theorist interpret these results from polling and, in the event things change for the worse from Putin's perspective, what might such a theorist say is the chance that change is likely to be a gradual one or more akin to a convulsive revolution (and why?)?
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1QTC
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![Problem 5: Consider the following recent news summary of public opinion in Russia
about the war in Ukraine:
"Will public support for Putin waver? Currently, most surveys by Russian and Western scholars
show... opinion apparently still behind the war. But the same surveys show that Russians'
anxiety and concern are growing. [However, this]... apparent public support may be misleading.
Instead, people hold contradictory opinions, lack a clear position and often give what they
perceive to be the "safest" answer. This does not necessarily mean that people are lying to
pollsters. Instead, under intense political and, more importantly, social pressure to produce
patriotic answers, people express sincere support for the war effort. But research shows that
support depends on perceptions of others' opinions and on what is socially acceptable and so
can change quickly. This scenario suggests that Putin and his entourage still have a fight on their
hands. If they can convince people that the patriotic, socially respectable interpretation of the
war is that it is a civilizational struggle for Russia's very existence and culture, Russia's
leadership may survive even a total defeat in this war. If not, Putin could be scapegoated by new
leadership. So far, the Kremlin has had the upper hand in the battle on the home front, but this
new phase might prove decisive for Putin and his allies."
How might a game theorist interpret these results from polling and, in the event things change
for the worse from Putin's perspective, what might such a theorist say is the chance that
change is likely to be a gradual one or more akin to a convulsive revolution (and why?)?](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2F5bbb8c31-7cc4-4192-8809-2be85d102a33%2F80da1e60-57de-42d4-ab93-8754f30ff7b6%2F4cw3k1d_processed.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:Problem 5: Consider the following recent news summary of public opinion in Russia
about the war in Ukraine:
"Will public support for Putin waver? Currently, most surveys by Russian and Western scholars
show... opinion apparently still behind the war. But the same surveys show that Russians'
anxiety and concern are growing. [However, this]... apparent public support may be misleading.
Instead, people hold contradictory opinions, lack a clear position and often give what they
perceive to be the "safest" answer. This does not necessarily mean that people are lying to
pollsters. Instead, under intense political and, more importantly, social pressure to produce
patriotic answers, people express sincere support for the war effort. But research shows that
support depends on perceptions of others' opinions and on what is socially acceptable and so
can change quickly. This scenario suggests that Putin and his entourage still have a fight on their
hands. If they can convince people that the patriotic, socially respectable interpretation of the
war is that it is a civilizational struggle for Russia's very existence and culture, Russia's
leadership may survive even a total defeat in this war. If not, Putin could be scapegoated by new
leadership. So far, the Kremlin has had the upper hand in the battle on the home front, but this
new phase might prove decisive for Putin and his allies."
How might a game theorist interpret these results from polling and, in the event things change
for the worse from Putin's perspective, what might such a theorist say is the chance that
change is likely to be a gradual one or more akin to a convulsive revolution (and why?)?
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