The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 29 periods? ID Description A Pilot production B UD C E F G H Select channels of distribution Develop program Test market Patent Full production Ad promotion Release 50% 40% 70% 60% Predecessor None None None A A D C B,E,F,G te 6 7 4 4 10 16 3 2 Variance [(b-a)/6]² 3 4 225 10 2 1

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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ge 1:
e 2:
e 3:
e 4:
e 5:
e 6:
The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical
path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 29 periods?
ID Description
A Pilot production
Select channels of
distribution
Develop program
Test market
Patent
Full production
Ad promotion
Release
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
0000
50%
40%
70%
60%
Predecessor
None
None
None
A
A
D
C
B,E,F,G
te
6
N
7
4
4
10
16
3
2
Variance
[(b-a)/6]2
3
4
2
2
5
10
2
1
Transcribed Image Text:ge 1: e 2: e 3: e 4: e 5: e 6: The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 29 periods? ID Description A Pilot production Select channels of distribution Develop program Test market Patent Full production Ad promotion Release B C D E F G H 0000 50% 40% 70% 60% Predecessor None None None A A D C B,E,F,G te 6 N 7 4 4 10 16 3 2 Variance [(b-a)/6]2 3 4 2 2 5 10 2 1
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