The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 25 periods? ID A B C D E F ךד G H 23% Description 24% 21% 22% Pilot production Select channels of distribution Release Develop program Test market Patent Full production Ad promotion Predecessor None None None A A D C B,E,F,G te 6 7 4 4 10 16 3 2 Variance [(b-a)/6]2 3 4 2 2 5 10 2 1

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter12: Probability
Section12.4: Discrete Random Variables; Applications To Decision Making
Problem 14E
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The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical
path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 25 periods?
ID Description
A Pilot production
B
C Develop program
D
Test market
E
Patent
F
Full production
G
Ad promotion
H
Select channels of
distribution
Release
23%
24%
21%
22%
Predecessor
None
None
None
A
A
D
C
B,E,F,G
te
6
7
4
4
10
16
3
2
Variance
[(b-a)/6]2
3
4
2
2
5
10
2
1
Transcribed Image Text:The expected times and variances for the project activities are given below, critical path is A-D-F-H. What is the probability of the completing the project in 25 periods? ID Description A Pilot production B C Develop program D Test market E Patent F Full production G Ad promotion H Select channels of distribution Release 23% 24% 21% 22% Predecessor None None None A A D C B,E,F,G te 6 7 4 4 10 16 3 2 Variance [(b-a)/6]2 3 4 2 2 5 10 2 1
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