Suppose that a person maximizes his expected utility, with the utility function given by v(z) = z12. Suppose that the person engages in a risky venture which leaves him with either $81 or $25, with equal probability. Calculate his expected utility.
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- AsapJacob is considering buying hurricane insurance. Currently, without insurance, he has a wealth of $80,000. A hurricane ripping through his home will reduce his wealth by $60,000. The chance of this happening is 1%. An insurance company will offer to compensate Jacob for 80% of the damage that any tornado imposes, provided he pays a premium. Jacob’s utility function for wealth is given by U(w) = In (w). (A) What is the maximum amount Jacob is willing to pay for this insurance? Show work and explain.Suppose that Mike, with utility function, u(x) = v x+5000, is offered a gamble where a coin is flipped twice, and if the coin comes up heads both times (probability - .25), he gets $40,000. Would he prefer this gamble or $7,500 for sure? What is his Certainty Equivalent?
- Suppose you have an exponential utility function given by U(x) =1- exp(-x/R) where, for you, R = 1000. Further, suppose you have an investment with a 50/50 chance of returning either 0 or 2000 dollars. Note U(0) = 0 and U(2000) = 0.865, so the utility of the lottery is 0.432. What is the certain equivalent of that investment?Your Utility function of U = 5, where I is income. You receive an income of 1600 each week from your laundry delivery service in which you face a 50% chance each week of an accident that costs you $700. Calculate your expected income and expected utility.To go from Location 1 to Location 2, you can either take a car or take transit. Your utility function is: U= -1Xminutes -5Xdollars +0.13Xcar (i.e. 0.13 is the car constant) Car= 15 minutes and $8 Transit= 40 minutes and $4 What is your probability of taking transit given the conditions above? What is your probability of taking transit if the number of buses on the route were doubled, meaning the headways are halved? Remember to include units.
- Amy likes to go fast in her new Mustang GT. Their utility function over wealth is v(w) where w is wealth. If Amy goes fast she gets an increase in utility equal to F. But when Amy drives fast, she is more likely to crash: when she drives fast the probability of a crash is 10%, but when she obeys the speed limit, the probability of a crash is only 5%. Amy's car is worth $2000 unless she crashes, in which case it is worth $0. If Amy doesn't have insurance, driving fast isn't worth the risk, so she will alway obey the speed limit. If Amy is offered an insurance contract with full insurance for a premium P with the deductible D, which of the inequalites below is her incentive compatibility constraint that makes sure that she will still obey the speed limit even when she is fully insured? 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000 – P) > 0.05U(0 – P – D + 2000) + 0.95U(2000 – P) 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000 – P) > 0.1(U(2000 – P – D) + F) + 0.90(U(2000 – P) + F) 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000)…Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary's boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary's boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary's utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where P₁ and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x₁ and x₂ are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary's total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). 1. Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. 2. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. 3. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. 4. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. 5. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary’s boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary’s boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary’s utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where p1 and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x1 and x2 are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary’s total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.
- Max Pentridge is thinking of starting a pinball palace near a large Melbourne university. His utility is given by u(W) = 1 - (5,000/W), where W is his wealth. Max's total wealth is $10,000. With probability p = 0.9 the palace will succeed and Max's wealth will grow from $10,000 to $x. With probability 1 - p the palace will be a failure and he’ll lose $5,000, so that his wealth will be just $5,000. What is the smallest value of x that would be sufficient to make Max want to invest in the pinball palace rather than have a wealth of $10,000 with certainty? ____ (Please round your final answer to the whole dollar, if necessary)John is a farmer with $225 of wealth. He can either plant corn or beans. If he plants corn, John earns an income of $675 if the weather is GOOD and $0 if the weather is BAD. If he plants beans, John earns an income of $451 under both GOOD and BAD weather. The probability of GOOD weather is 0.7. The probability of BAD weather is 0.3. John's utility function is u(C) = 5VC , where C is the value of consumption. Use this information to fill out the table below. (Don't forget to include the value of wealth when you compute consumption!). The PDF will round all typed numbers to two decimals; However, you should use all decimals when computing your answers. %3D Plant Corn Plant Beans Expected value of consumption Expected value of utility Certainty Equivalent Risk Premium 9. What type of risk preferences does John have? Mae owns an insurance company in a nearby town and has decided to offer conventional crop insurance to corn farmers in the area. Assume that Mae has perfect information and…John is a farmer with $225 of wealth. He can either plant corn or beans. If he plants corn, John earns an income of $675 if the weather is GOOD and $0 if the weather is BAD. If he plants beans, John earns an income of $451 under both GOOD and BAD weather. The probability of GOOD weather is 0.7. The probability of BAD weather is 0.3. John’s utility function is U(c) = 5√c , where c is the value of consumption. Mae owns an insurance company in a nearby town and has decided to offer conventional crop insurance to corn farmers in the area. Assume that Mae has perfect information and can write and enforce an insurance contract that requires the farmer to plant corn. Here’s how the insurance contract works. At the beginning of the year, the corn farmer pays an insurance premium of $202.5. If the weather is GOOD, Mae makes no payment to the farmer. If the weather is BAD, Mae makes an indemnity payment of $675 to the farmer. a. If a farmer buys this insurance contract,what is Mae’s expected…