Question Three: Milka makes boxes of chocolates for which the demand is uncertain. " Quarterty demand (in boxes of chocolates) for the last 3 years follows: Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 3,000 3,300 3,502 2 1,700 2,100 2,448 3 900 1,500 1,768 4 4,400 5,100 5,882 Total 10,000 12,000 13,600 a Use intuition and judgment to estimate quarterly demand for the fourth year. b- Use weighted moving average to estimate the demand for every quarter in the fourth year. Try to calculate the weights from historical data of last two years
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- Which are some of the things that drive variability in demand management and forecasting? 1. MOQs 2. Promotional sales on products 3. Supplier contracting 4. Order fulfillment 5. Network planning 6. None of the above Please give me answer ASAP with clear explanation.Consider the following price and dividend data for Ford Motor Company: Dividend ($) Date December 31, 2004 January 26, 2005 April 28, 2005 July 29, 2005 October 28, 2005 December 30, 2005 Price ($) $14.04 $13.43 $9.14 OA. -44.4% OB. -40.2% OC.-42.32% OD. -38.1% $10.74 $8.02 $7.72 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 Assume that you purchased Ford Motor Company stock at the closing price on December 31, 2004 and sold it at the closing price on December 30, 2005. Your realized annual return is for the year 2005 is closest to:Question 1 Q1) The monthly sales of a retailer company were as follow: Month -Sales February-- March- 1000 1800 April- -2100 May- -1000 June- July-- 2048 2600 August As a planner, you are required to calculate the Demand Forecast for August using the Naive approach Add your answer
- Q15) Cost management system is used for measuring inventory and cost of goods sold for external shareholders. Select one: True FalseConsider the data below: Month Demand Jan 164 Feb 224 Mar 209 269 Apr May 119 Jun 194 Jul 179 Aug 134 Sep 164 Oct 149 Nov 269Demand(box) 10 11 12 13 14 15 and and more less Possibility 0.1 0.18 0.26 0.24 0.12 0.1 A business that will open a gift shop in Los Angeles is considering making and selling love- themed magnets. It is thought that it will not be possible to order new magnets during the fair period, and magnets that are not sold during the fair period will not be sold later. A box of magnets costs the business $100 and generates $460 from its sale. The table includes predictions about demand probabilities. a-) What is the overstocking cost of the business in dollars/box? b-) How many dollars/box is the missing stocking cost?
- Q-4: Define and briefly explain the following methods of demand estimation with examples from the real world? a) Consumer Surveys b) Consumer Clinics c) Market ExperimentsCalculate customer life time value for the data below. (Show Work) Purchase Occasion Transition Probability Average Basket Size 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 ΝΑ 55% 75% 78% 83% 81% 81% 86% 82% 85% 90% 93% 85% 89% 85% 91% 97% 97% 96% 85% 83% 89% 82% 79% 82% 89% 88% 86% 67% 75% $46.71 $56.71 $57.93 $56.87 $58.26 $66.90 $63.62 $70.27 $63.03 $62.60 $71.81 $76.76 $78.14 $65.65 $74.84 $81.11 $72.08 $87.30 $71.94 $75.44 $70.35 $72.86 $66.68 $79.90 $93.91 $61.08 $94.16 $100.40 $77.89 $99.70Q#3 · Let p + 3q/2 = 27 be an equation involving two variables p (price) and q (quantity). Indicate the meaningful domain and range of this function when (a) the price (b) the quality are considered independent variables.
- Zeus Computer Chips, Inc., used to have major contracts to produce the Centrino-type chips. The market has been declining during the past three years because of the dual-core chips, which it cannot produce, so Zeus has the unpleasant task of forecasting next year. The task is unpleasant because the firm has not been able to find replacement chips for its production lines. Here is demand over the past 12 quarters: LAST THIS YEAR TWO YEARS AGO UNITS YEAR UNITS UNITS 4,785 3,495 2,696 3,475 3,210 2,078 2,705 1,695 I I I II 3,475 4,195 II II III III III IV 2,995 IV 2,375 IV Use the decomposition technique to forecast demand for the next four quarters. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Period Forecast (Units I II III IVPart B Three-period Four-period Units Units Demanded Period weighted moving weighted moving Demanded Three-period weighted moving average forecast average forecast average forecast Four-period weighted moving average forecast 24 2 25 60 28 50 49 S50 4 32 26.33 46 4.90 39,80 40 41 5 35 29.50 28.6 38 35 38 32.83 31.7 30 32 28 25 26,93 250 es 7 41 36.00 34.9 24 20 8 46 39.00 38 49 43.00 41.8 10 10 53 46.67 45.4 50.50 49.2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1. Make a comparative analysis out of your answers in the plotted data. (3-5 sentences)d. Steps involved in classification of ABC analysis?