In 1975, the automobile industry determined that 40% of American car owners drove large cars, 20% drove intermediate-sized cars, and 40% drove small cars. A second survey in 1985 showed that 70% of the largecar owners in 1975 still owned large cars in 1985, but 30% had changed to an intermediate-sized car. Of those who owned intermediate-sized cars in 1975, 10% had switched to large cars, 70% continued to drive intermediate-sized cars, and 20% had changed to small cars in 1985. Finally, of the small-car owners in 1975, 10% owned intermediate-sized cars and 90% owned small cars in 1985. Assuming that these trends continue, determine the percentages of Americans who own cars of each size in 1995 and the corresponding eventual percentages.

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter12: Probability
Section12.3: Conditional Probability; Independent Events; Bayes' Theorem
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In 1975, the automobile industry determined that 40% of American car owners drove large cars, 20% drove intermediate-sized cars, and 40% drove small cars. A second survey in 1985 showed that 70% of the largecar owners in 1975 still owned large cars in 1985, but 30% had changed to an intermediate-sized car. Of those who owned intermediate-sized cars in 1975, 10% had switched to large cars, 70% continued to drive intermediate-sized cars, and 20% had changed to small cars in 1985. Finally, of the small-car owners in 1975, 10% owned intermediate-sized cars and 90% owned small cars in 1985. Assuming that these trends continue, determine the percentages of Americans who own cars of each size in 1995 and the corresponding eventual percentages.

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