Clinic administrator Marc Schniederjans wants you to forecastpatient demand at the clinic for week 7 by using this data. You decide to use a weighted moving average method to find this fore-cast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights of 0.333 on the present period, 0.25 one period ago, 0.25 two peri-ods ago, and 0.167 three periods ago. a) What is the value of your forecast? PXb) If instead the weights were 20, 15, 15, and 10, respectively, howwould the forecast change? Explain why. c) What if the weights were 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10, respec-tively? Now what is the forecast for week 7?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Clinic administrator Marc Schniederjans wants you to forecast
patient demand at the clinic for week 7 by using this data. You

decide to use a weighted moving average method to find this fore-
cast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights

of 0.333 on the present period, 0.25 one period ago, 0.25 two peri-
ods ago, and 0.167 three periods ago.

a) What is the value of your forecast? PX
b) If instead the weights were 20, 15, 15, and 10, respectively, how
would the forecast change? Explain why.

c) What if the weights were 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10, respec-
tively? Now what is the forecast for week 7?

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