(Ch 7) Suppose a standard normal random variable has an 80 percent chance falling in an interval (–z, z). The value of z is approximately ____ (use Appendix C-1).
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(Ch 7) Suppose a standard normal random variable has an 80 percent chance falling in an interval (–z, z). The value of z is approximately ____ (use Appendix C-1).
1.45
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1.96
1.28
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- 4.94 Suppose x is a normally distributed random variable with u = 50 and o = 3. Find a value of the random variable, call it xo, such that a. P(x хо) %3 .025 с. Р(х > хо) %3.95 d. P(41 < x < xo) = .8630 e. 10% of the values of x are less than xp. f. 1% of the values of x are greater than xo.r.edu/courses/97574/quizzes/357143/take ch results - yaz... Question 23 Consider the following probability distribution. xi 0 M Question Mode: M... 1 2 3 O 2.5 0.9 O 1.9 P(X = xi) O 1.5 0.1 The expected value is 0.2 0.4 0.3 Question 24 An analyst has constructed the following probability distribution for firm X's predicted return for upcoming year.A lottery has a grand prize of $1,000,000, 2 runner-up prizes of $100,000 each, 6 third-place prizes of $10,000 each, and 19 consolation prizes of $1,000 each. If a 4 million tickets are sold for $1 each, and the probability of any ticket winning is the same as that of any other winning, find the expected return on a $1 ticket. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.
- 5.100 Tossing a die. You are tossing a balanced die that has probability 1/6 of coming up 1 on each toss. Tosses are independent. We are interested in how long we must wait to get the first 1. (a) The probability of a 1 on the first toss is 1/6. What is the probability that the first toss is not a 1 and the second toss is a 1? (b) What is the probability that the first two tosses are not 1s and the third toss is a 1? This is the probability that the first 1 occurs on the third toss. 4 (c) Now you see the pattern. What is the probability that the first 1 occurs on the fourth toss? On the fifth toss?The proportion of vehicles which drive above the speed limit on a freeway is 85%. Suppose 100 vehicles are randomly clocked. 20 If each speeding vehicle is issued a $185 speeding ticket, the expected value of the ticket amount is $________. a $15,725 b $14,560 c $13,480 d $12,4851. A person who is 55 year old bought a PHP 2,000,000 life insurance policy at a cost of PHP 1.2 M and has a probability of 0.978 of living to age 56, find the expectation of the policy. 2. nPn-r = ? (Permutations)
- If Firm 1 chooses to release the console in October with probability of 0.692 or December with a probability of 0.308, then Firm 2 is indifferent between choosing a release date. If Firm 2 released the console in October with probability of 0.50 or December with a probability of 0.50, then Firm 1 is indifferent between choosing a release date Suppose now that instead of choosing the release date at the same time, the firms choose sequentially (but still in advance). Firm A chooses its release date first, then firm B observes that date and chooses its own date. Thepayoffs are otherwise the same as above. Represent the game tree corresponding to this dynamic game.The promoter of a football game is concerned that it will rain. She has the option of spending $14,040 on insurance that will pay $39,000 if it rains. She estimates that the revenue from the game will be $65,040 if it does not rain and $30,040 if it does rain. What must the chance of rain be if buying the policy has the same expected return as not buying it? Write expressions showing the expected returns if the promoter does and does not purchase the insurance, using p to represent the probability of rain. Without insurance, E(return) = With insurance, E(return) = The chance of rain must be _%.Eric has a job at an electronics store in a mall. Eric doesn't like to work hard, and it costs him $100 to do so. Eric's employer cannot observe whether Eric works hard or not. If Eric works hard, there is a 75% probability that electronics goods profits will equal $400 a day and a 25% probability that electronics goods profits will equal $100 a day. If Eric shirks, there is a 75% probability that electronics goods profits will equal S100 a day and a 25% probability that electronics goods profits will equal $400 a day. Suppose Eric is paid $200 if electronics goods profits are $400 a day and $50 if electronics goods profits are S100 a day. Eric will because the net gain of from shirking is than the net gain of from working hard. O shirk; $87.50; more; $62.50 O shirk; $125; more; $118 O work hard; S50; less; $62.50 O work hard; $100; less; $250
- 21 Los Angeles averages 266.5 sunny days per year. What is probability that Boston has at least as many sunny days as Los Angeles? a 0.0020 b 0.0031 c 0.0047 d 0.0073Suppose the market for auto insurance is made of up two types of buyers: high-risk and low-risk. Buyers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for auto insurance plans, and sellers’ willingness to accept (WTA) when selling plans to each type of buyer, are outlined in a photo Assume now that there is asymmetric information and that insurance companies do not knowhow risky an individual buyer is. In the face of this uncertainty, they determine that the probability that a “walk-in” is high-risk is 0.75. What is the minimum price sellers are willing to accept when selling aninsurance plan? At this price, will low- and high-risk buyers both be willing to purchase this insurance plan? Explain. Be sure the mention adverse selection in your answer. Returning to the conditions outlined in Q1, suppose that buyers of auto insurance (high- and low-risk) were offered a $1,000 subsidy to purchase coverage. This would raise their WTP by $1,000. Would the market for both insurance plans clear after the…Guy Fieri has purchased a significant plot of land in Northwest Ohio for his newest venture: FlavorTownship. This hub for mind-boggling flavor and entertainment is a strictly for-profit operation. Guy would like to keep Flavor Township open all year-round, but due to Ohio weather the following are the probabilities of when it will be open: |- 30% chance it is open 300 days a year |- 55% chance it is open 325 days a year |- 15% chance it is open 350 days a year Flavor Township will expect to host 14,000 people each day that it is open and expects an average revenue of $45 per visitor. This paradigm-shifting landmark will cost $420,000,000 to start the investment and will require annual costs (food, employees, etc.) of $115,000,000. Every 3 years, Flavor Township will undergo necessary maintenance that will cost $22,000,000. If the expected life of Flavor Township is 15 years and a 16% return is expected, what is the expected NPV of this project?