a) Use a 2-month moving average on all the data and plot the averages and the prices. b) Use a 3-month moving average and add the 3-month plot to the graph created in part (a). c) Which is better (using the mean absolute deviation): the 2-month average or the 3-month average? d) Compute the forecasts for each month using exponential smoothing, with an initial forecast for January of $1.80. Use a = .1, then a = .3, and finally a = .5. Using MAD, which a is the best? P

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
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answer a, b, c, and d completely.

ex
•.• 4.9
computers. The prices for the chip during the past 12 months
were as follows:
Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop
de
..
he
PRICE PER
CHIP
PRICE PER
CHIP
in
MONTH
MONTH
January
$1.80
July
1.80
February
1.67
August
1.83
March
1.70
September
1.70
April
1.85
October
1.65
May
1.90
November
1.70
June
1.87
December
1.75
a) Use a 2-month moving average on all the data and plot the
averages and the prices.
b) Use a 3-month moving average and add the 3-month plot to
the graph created in part (a).
c) Which is better (using the mean absolute deviation): the
2-month average or the 3-month average?
d) Compute the forecasts for each month using exponential
smoothing, with an initial forecast for January of $1.80. Use
a = .1, then a = .3, and finally a = .5. Using MAD, which a
is the best? Px
%3D
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:ex •.• 4.9 computers. The prices for the chip during the past 12 months were as follows: Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop de .. he PRICE PER CHIP PRICE PER CHIP in MONTH MONTH January $1.80 July 1.80 February 1.67 August 1.83 March 1.70 September 1.70 April 1.85 October 1.65 May 1.90 November 1.70 June 1.87 December 1.75 a) Use a 2-month moving average on all the data and plot the averages and the prices. b) Use a 3-month moving average and add the 3-month plot to the graph created in part (a). c) Which is better (using the mean absolute deviation): the 2-month average or the 3-month average? d) Compute the forecasts for each month using exponential smoothing, with an initial forecast for January of $1.80. Use a = .1, then a = .3, and finally a = .5. Using MAD, which a is the best? Px %3D %3D
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