A consultant commented that “too often the numbers look good but feel bad.” This comment often stems from estimation error common to capital budgeting proposals that relate to future cash flows. Three reasons for this error often exist. First, reliably predicting cash flows several years into the future is very difficult. Second, the present value of cash flows many years into the future (say, beyond 10 years) is often very small. Third, personal biases and expectations can influence present value computations. 1. Compute the present value of $100 to be received in 10 years assuming a 12% discount rate. 2. Why is understanding the three reasons mentioned for estimation error important when evaluating investment projects? Link this response to your answer for part 1.

Cornerstones of Cost Management (Cornerstones Series)
4th Edition
ISBN:9781305970663
Author:Don R. Hansen, Maryanne M. Mowen
Publisher:Don R. Hansen, Maryanne M. Mowen
Chapter19: Capital Investment
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20E
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A consultant commented that “too often the numbers look good but feel bad.” This comment often stems from estimation error common to capital budgeting proposals that relate to future cash flows. Three reasons for this error often exist. First, reliably predicting cash flows several years into the future is very difficult. Second, the present value of cash flows many years into the future (say, beyond 10 years) is often very small. Third, personal biases and expectations can influence present value computations. 1. Compute the present value of $100 to be received in 10 years assuming a 12% discount rate. 2. Why is understanding the three reasons mentioned for estimation error important when evaluating investment projects? Link this response to your answer for part 1.

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