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- Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…What does it mean to state that for variance analysis to be effective, it shouldresult in better communication between managers?
- 20. As defined, decision making involvesA) EliminatinguncertaintyB) LeadershipC) InformationtechnologyD) ChoosingE) Overcoming fearsQuantitative Methods 1.The minimum expected opportunity loss ____________________. a.) is equal to the highest expected payoff. b.) is greater than the expected value with perfect information. c.) is equal to the expected value of perfect information. d.) is computed when finding the minimax regret decision. 2.) A decision tree is preferable to a decision table when_________________________. a.) a number of sequential decisions are to be made. b.) probabilities are available. c.) the maximax criterion is used. d.) the objective is to maximize regret. 3.In decision theory, probabilities are associated with _____________________. a.) payoffs. b.) alternatives. c.) states of nature. d.) none of the above.Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…
- Neil is decision maker for Pepe's Atlantic sausage company. Because there are several suppliers of the ingredients and their prices fluctuate, he has come up with several different formulations for the various sausages that he makes, depending on the availability of particular ingredients from particular suppliers. He often orders ingredients accordingly twice a week. Even though he cannot predict when ingredients will become available at a particular price, his ordering of supplied can be considered routine. 1. On what level of management is Neil working? Explain in a paragraph. 2. What attributed of his job would have to change before you would categorize him as working on a different level of management? List them.9) A(n)__ is set by and for middle management of an organization. strategic goal operational goal O interim goal tactical goal34- The process of decision making starts with: a. Diagnosing the problem b. Identification of the problem c. Developing alternatives d. Selecting the best alternative
- Describe how decision analysis is similar to and different from simulation analysis and scenario analysis (at least 75 words)A method of estimating future demand usedfor decision making in order to set reasonable targets and control orlimit uncertainties or risks.6- In decision making process, the worst alternative is the one which have a. More positives with less negatives b. Less positives with less negatives c. More negatives with less positives d. More positives with more negatives