1. Rajah Company is going to introduce one of the three new products: A, B, and C or do nothing. As the market conditions [favourable, stable, or unfavourable) affect the payoffs of the products, the company estimates the following payoffs and probabilities: Market Condition, Payoff (RM) Product B с Do nothing Probability Favourable 8000 5000 7 000 0 0.4 Stable 6 000 3000 6 000 0 0.3 Unfavourable -5 000 -1 200 -1000 0 0.3 (a) What is the decision under risk? (b) What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
TUTORIAL QUESTION
1. Rajah Company is going to introduce one of the three new products:
A, B, and C or do nothing. As the market conditions (favourable, stable,
or unfavourable) affect the payoffs of the products, the company
estimates the following payoffs and probabilities:
Market Condition, Payoff (RM)
de
Product
A
B
с
Do nothing
Probability
Favourable
8 000
5 000
7 000
0
0.4
Stable
6000-
3000
6 000
0
0.3
Unfavourable
-5 000
-1 200
-1 000
0
0.3
(a) What is the decision under risk?
(b) What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
Transcribed Image Text:QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS TUTORIAL QUESTION 1. Rajah Company is going to introduce one of the three new products: A, B, and C or do nothing. As the market conditions (favourable, stable, or unfavourable) affect the payoffs of the products, the company estimates the following payoffs and probabilities: Market Condition, Payoff (RM) de Product A B с Do nothing Probability Favourable 8 000 5 000 7 000 0 0.4 Stable 6000- 3000 6 000 0 0.3 Unfavourable -5 000 -1 200 -1 000 0 0.3 (a) What is the decision under risk? (b) What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
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