what type of investment strategy would be selected by the Equally Likelycriterion?
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Donald Harris received a windfall and needs to invest it for tax reasons. He went to his brother-in-law, Joe Harris, who is a financial advisor. Joe prepared a matrix that illustrated the possible
| Future Air Traffic | ||||
| Strategies | Major Downturn | Downturn | Upturn | Major Upturn |
| Contrarian | 20% | 10% | 5% | -15% |
| Risk Averse | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% |
| Growth | -10% | -8% | 13% | 20% |
| Aggressive | -25% | -20% | 11% | 35% |
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- As manager for a retail store, you have to order new stock. There are three ranges to choose from: luxury, middle of the range and inexpensive. The strategic decision on which range to buy depends on the economic outlook for the season, but the economic forecasts are uncertain. Historical data shows that the expected profits are: Profit pay- offs Economic outlook Strategies Good Average Bad 1. Buy luxury range 100,000 40,000 −80,000 2. Buy middle of range 70,750 60,000 −30,200 3. Buy inexpensive range −20,200 50,500 50,000 Figure 1Pay-off table of profits Use the Laplace criterion to make a decision. Use the Wald criterion to make a decision. Use the maximax criterion to make a decision. Use the maximin criterion to make a decision. Compare and discuss the results.Air Asia is a low-cost airline operating primarily in Asia. It was the first airline in Asia to operate under the low fare no-frills model first introduced in Europe. Air Asia enjoyed for quite a while some success in a very competitive industry where many firms have failed. This case considers Air Asia’s development, its business model, and the reactions of some of its competitors. The objective is to use Porter’s Five Forces Model and seek to evaluate if Air Asia’s success is sustainable in the market it has defined for itself. What competitive advantages does Air Asia enjoy at the time of this case? Do you think these advantages are sustainable?Maximax, Maximin, Minimax RegretLearning material: Watch this videoLab Scenario:Imagine a local entrepreneur is considering starting a business and has three options: open a coffeeshop, a bookshop, or a fusion coffee-bookshop. The entrepreneur is uncertain about the market'sreaction to these businesses. The possible market conditions are: favorable, neutral, and unfavorable.Data (Payoff Table in USD):Business Option Favorable Market Neutral Market Unfavorable MarketCoffee Shop 150,000 70,000 -30,000Bookshop 100,000 60,000 -20,000Fusion Shop 130,000 80,000 -10,000Positive values represent profits, and negative values represent losses.Assignment Steps:1. Maximax (Optimist's Criterion) Approach:For each business option, identify the maximum possible payoff.First Question What is the business option with the highest of these maximum payoffs? (5points)2. Maximin (Pessimist's Criterion) Approach:For each business option, identify the minimum possible payoff.Second Question What is the…
- ro forma income statement. Given the income statement , for California Cement Company for 2013 and an expected sales growth rate of 6.67% for 2014, prepare a pro forma income statement for 2014. First, find the percentage of each income statement line from 2013 as a percent of sales. (Round to three decimal places.) California Cement Company Income Statement for 2013 Sales revenue $ 22,869,000 Cost of goods sold $ -11,637,000 Selling, general, and administrative expenses $ -3,993,000 Depreciation expenses $ -1,331,000 EBIT $ 5,908,000 Interest expense $ -175,000 Taxable income $ 5,733,000 Taxes $ -2,512,462 Net income $ 3,220,538 What is the sales forecast for 2014? (Round to the nearest dollar.) The pro forma income statement for 2014 is: (Round to the nearest dollar.) California Cement Company Pro Forma Income Statement for 2014 Sales revenue $ ? 100.00% Cost of goods sold $ ? 50.885 %…In the table below ratings data on x = the quality of the speed of execution and y = overall satisfaction with electronic trades provided the estimated regression equation ŷ = 0.3402 +0.8922x. Brokerage Speed Satisfaction Scottrade, Inc. 3.5 3.4 Charles Schwab 3.0 3.1 Fidelity Brokerage Services 3.3 3.2 TD Ameritrade 3.6 3.5 E*Trade Financial 3.4 3.7 Vanguard Brokerage Services 3.8 3.6 USAA Brokerage Services 3.3 2.9 Thinkorswim 3.1 3.6 Wells Fargo Investments 2.4 2.4 Interactive Brokers 2.6 2.2 Zecco.com 2.7 3.1 At the 0.05 level of significance, test whether speed of execution and overall satisfaction are related. Show the ANOVA table. What is your conclusion? Source Sum of Squares Degrees Mean Square F (to 2 decimals) of Variation (to 4 decimals) of Freedom (to 4 decimals) Regression Error Total P-value is - Select your answer - We Select your answer - V reject Ho : B1 = 0, we conclude that speed of execution and overall satisfaction Select your answer - V related.ABC company wants to open one, two, or three shops. The average Profit varies with the demand in three categories low, medium and high. Determine which one is better using Maximax, Maximin, Laplace, Minimax regret. Demand Number of Shops 1 2 3 Low 150 175 200 Medium 100 200 200 High 0 170 400 I don't want the solution with excel
- . A business owner is planning to strategize his company's growth. He can either buy, rent, or lease a new factory depending on how the business is doing. He was given the following payoff table based on whether the business is doing good or the business is slow. Alternative Business Doing Good Business is Slow Buy 90 -10 Rent 70 40 Lease 60 55 The probability of business doing good is 0.7 and the probability of slow business is 0.3. Using Laplace's method, the best strategy is: Lease Buy Rent Do nothingEdwards Machine Tools needs to purchase a new machine. The basic model is slower but costs less, whereas the advanced model is faster but costs more. Profitability will depend on future demand. The following table presents an estimate of profits over the next three years. Decision Basic model Advanced model Decision alternative Basic model Advanced model Fill in the table below for maximum and minimum profit payoffs under each model. Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Opportunity Loss Matrix Decision alternative Basic model Advanced model Maximum Low $75,000 $60,000 Low Demand Volume Calculate the amounts foregone by not adopting the optimal course of action for each possible demand level. Determine the maximum opportunity cost for each model. Fill in the table below. If your answer is zero, enter "0". Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Minimum $ Future events Medium $80,000 $130,000 Medium High $170,000 $220,000 High Maximum Given the uncertainty associated with the…After reading about economic predictions, Debbie Gibson (see problem #4) has assigned the probabilities that the economy will be strong, average, and weak at 0.2, 0.35, and 0.45 respectively. a) Using EMVs, what option should Debbie choose? What is the maximum EMV? b) Using EOL, what option should Debbie choose? What is the minimum EOL? c) Compute the EVPI and show that it is the same as the minimum EOL. For Reference: (Problem # 4) Debbie Gibson is considering three investment options for a small inheritance that she has just received-stocks, bonds, and money market. The return on her investment will depend on the performance of the economy, which can be strong, average, or weak. If the market is strong her returns are 9% for stocks, 6% for bonds and 4% for money market. If the market is average her returns are 5% for stocks, 4% for bonds and 6% for money market. If the market is weak her returns are -7% for stocks, 2% for bonds and 1% for money market.
- Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profit that would be realized during the next year for each of three investments alternatives Mickey is considering: State of Nature Decision alternatives Good Economy Poor Economy Stock market 80,000 -20,000 Bonds 30,000 20,000 CDs 23,000 23,000 Probability 0.5 0.5 Compute decision would maximize expected profits. Compute the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy.A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand, an average market demand or low market demand. The following table summarizes the company's decision situation (profits in thousands of dollars). Alternative 00 540 300 240 O 100 30% High Dem. 1,000 Expand Facilities Acquire Competitor Subcontract Production What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information for the small parts manufacturer? 800 Ave. Dem. 200 600 -300 30% 100 Low Dem. -1,000 -400 0The purpose of the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) is to achieve which of the following? It is a charter government association for the county. It is an organization that receives state funds for county projects. It is a group that meets to collaborate on project ideas. It is the largest Council of Government (COG) in Arizona and is a regional planning agency for funds received from the federal government.
