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- Develop Linear Regression Model. Forecast sales for 8, 14 and 17 years of education. Sales(1000s) Years of Education 24 10 18 9 20 11 22 6 26 13 23 16 21 18Q5) Monthly sales for a six month period are as follows: Month SalesJan 18,000Feb 22,000Mar 16,000Apr 18,000May 20,000June 24,000 Compute the sales forecast for July using the following approaches: (1) Four-month moving average; (2) Weighted three-month moving average using .50 for June, .30 for May and .20 for April;(3) Exponential smoothing with α (smoothing constant) equal to .40, assuming a February forecast of 18,0003. Quarterly sales of a car dealer exhibit an almost constant mean over time, but sales fluctuate depending on the quarter of the year (exhibits seasonality). Quarter Q1 - Spring Q2 - Summer Q3 - Fall Q4 - Winter Mean Year 1 32 74 53 22 45.25 Year 2 30 71 63 15 44.75 Year 3 35 83 45 19 45.5 (a) Using three years' worth of quarterly data that is provided, develop a set of seasonal factors that could be used to forecast car sales (b) Forecast car sales in each of the four quarters (Q1-Q4) of the following year (Year 4), using these seasonal factors.
- page 4 of 19) - Google Chrome squ.edu.om/mod/quiz/attempt.php?attempt3D1245076&cmid%3663426&page%3D3 earning System (Academic) erations Management || fall20 Quiz stion 4 Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) is the always the best in assessing a forecast model accuracy yet vered Select one: ked out of O a. True O b. False Hajir lag question 13 Next page 10 19Find the sample variance for the following data set 22 12 23 17 21Analyse mckinsey 7S Framework for Zomato
- The monthly demand for units manufactured by the Acme Rocket Company has been as follows:Month Units Month UnitsMay 100 September 105June 80 October 110July 110 November 125August 115 December 120a. Use the exponential smoothing method to forecast the number of units for June to January. Theinitial forecast for May was 105 units; a = 0.2.b. Calculate the absolute percentage error for each month from June through December and theMAD and MAPE of forecast error as of the end of December.c. Calculate the tracking signal as of the end of December. What can you say about the performanceof your forecasting method?q10- What is the best description of Granger-causality? Select one: a. the ability of lags of one variable to contribute to the forecast of another variable b. the ability of a variable to predict its own future c. the ability of the one variable to explain it own past d. None of the above Clear my choiceExplain 4 methods of judgmental technique in forecasting with an examples
- 2. What is the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)? 3. Use the following set of data to calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) for the following set of data. Month Actual (At) Forecast (Ft) Forecast Error Absolute (Deviation) Forecast Eror January February 45 45 42 50 March 34 45 April May 48 40 38 45 MAD =year quarterly sales (000 units) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 1300 1500 1200 2000 2017 1600 1800 1100 2200 2018 1700 1900 1300 2300 2019 1800 2100 1400 2500 Using a simple regression analysis, determine the trend equation of the sales and use it to estimate the number of units of clothing sold throughout the fiscal year 2020. Assume that Q1 of 2016 is 1, Q2 of 2016 is 2, etc. Show all relevant cakculation detail1. The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Part 2 Week Of Pints Used August 31 350 September 7 372 September 14 412 September 21 381 September 28 366 October 5 378 Part 3 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average LOADING... = _____________pints (round your response to two decimal places).
