onential Smoothing with the following parameters: Ft+1=32 and the α = .15 Regression Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Firm's Actual Market share 30 32 33 34 28 33 29 27 32 33 28 33 e following forecasting method will you use? ur basis in choosing for your forecasting techniques? Explain briefly. on
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- Find the regression equation, letting the first variable be the predictor (x) variable. Using the listed actress/actor ages in various years, find the best predicted age of the Best Actor winner given that the age of the Best Actress winner that year is 43 years. Is the result within 5 years of the actual Best Actor winner, whose age was 45 years? Best Actress 27 30 30 61 30 32 46 28 61 22 43 56 D Best Actor 42 39 38 45 51 49 59 51 38 57 45 34 Find the equation of the regression line. y = + (Round the constant to one decimal place as needed. Round the coefficient to three decimal places as needed.) The best predicted age of the Best Actor winner given that the age of the Best Actress winner that year is 43 years is years old. (Round to the nearest whole number as needed.) Is the result within 5 years of the actual Best Actor winner, whose age was 45 years? the predicted age is the actual winner's age.Water is being poured into a large, cone-shaped cistern. The volume of water, measured in cm³, is reported at different time intervals, measured in seconds. A regression analysis was completed and is displayed in the computer output. Regression Analysis: cuberoot (Volume) versus Time Predictor Coef SE Coef Constant -0.006 0.00017 -35.294 0.000 Time 0.640 0.000018 35512.6 0.000 s=0.030 R-Sq=1.000 R-sq (adj)=1.000 What is the equation of the least-squares regression line? Volume = 0.640 - 0.006(Time) Volume = 0.640 - 0.006(Time) Volume = -0.006 + 0.640(Time) Volume = - 0.006 + 0.640(Time?)5. The following estimated equation was obtained by OLS regression using quarterly data for 1978 to 1996 inclusive. Yt = 2.20+ 0.104Xt₁ - 3.48 Xt₂ + 0.34Xt3 (3.4) (0.005) (2.2) (0.15) Standard errors are in parentheses, the explained sum of squares was 109.6, and the residual sum of squares 18.48. a. Test at the 5% level for the statistical significance of the parameter estimates. b. Calculate the coefficient of determination.
- As an auto insurance risk analyst, it is your job to research risk profiles for various types of drivers. One common area of concern for auto insurance companies is the risk involved when offering policies to younger, less experienced drivers. The U.S. Department of Transportation recently conducted a study in which it analyzed the relationship between 1) the number of fatal accidents per 1000 licenses, and 2) the percentage of licensed drivers under the age of 21 in a sample of 42 cities. Your first step in the analysis is to construct a scatterplot of the data. FIGURE. SCATTERPLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM U.S. Department of Transportation The Relationship Between Fatal Accident Frequency and Driver Age 4.5 3.5 3 2.5 1.5 1 0.5 6. 10 12 14 16 18 Percentage of drivers under age 21 Upon visual inspection, you determine that the variables do have a linear relationship. After a linear pattern has been established visually, you now proceed with performing linear…In the December, 1969, American Economic Review (pp. 886-896), Nathanial Leff reports thefollowing least squares regression results for a cross section study of the effect of age composition onsavings in 74 countries in 1964:log S/Y = 7.3439 + 0.1596 log Y/N + 0.0254 log G - 1.3520 log D1 - 0.3990 log D2 (R2= 0.57)log S/N = 8.7851 + 1.1486 log Y/N + 0.0265 log G - 1.3438 log D1 - 0.3966 log D2 (R2= 0.96)where S/Y = domestic savings ratio, S/N = per capita savings, Y/N = per capita income, D1 = percentage ofthe population under 15, D2 = percentage of the population over 64, and G = growth rate of per capitaincome. Are these results correct? Explain..All questions utilize the multivariate demand function for Smooth Sailing sailboats in C6 on text page 83. Compute to three decimal places. Initial values are: PX = $9500 PY = $10000 I = $15000 A = $170000 W = 160 This function is: Qs = 89830 -40PS +20PX +15PY +2I +.001A +10W 1.(a). Use the above to calculate the arc price elasticity of demand between PS = $9000 decreasing to PS = $8000. The arc elasticity formula is: 1.(b). Judging from the computation in (a), do you expect the revenue resulting from the decrease in Ps to $8000 to increase, remain the same, or decrease relative to the revenue at Ps = $9000. (Hint: see the table on page 65 of Truett). Explain your choice. 1.(c). Calculate the point elasticity of demand for Smooth Sailing sailboats at PS = $9000 (which should make Qs = 101600). The formula is: 1.(d). Does this elasticity value indicate that Smooth Sailing demand is relatively responsive to changes in the price of these sailboats? Explain…
- You are given the following data: The regression equation is: A. -0.66 B. -1.20 (X'X)*¹ C. 1.12 O D. 2.06 = 1.3 2.1 0.8 -1.4 1.9 2.1 -1.4 s² = 0.86. T = 103 The correlation between ₁ and 3 (i.e., corr(Â₁, Â3)) is: -1.6] 1.9 (X'y) = 2.9 3.4 0.8 Yt = B₁ + B₂X2+ + B3X3t + Ut.The Results below show the output of the following model: ?=?0+?1?1+?2?2+? Coefficient St. Error t-ratio Intercept 10.492 0.6655 15.77 ?1 0.0154 0.1889 0.08 ?2 0.1353 0.1889 0.72 Observations 100 ?2 0.985 Correlation matrix: X1 X2 X1 1 X2 0.950 1 Instructions: a. The above results show that the model has the problem of multicollinearity, what are the indicators of multicollinearity that can be identified from these results? b. What are the solutions to rectify multicollinearity?1. Consider a linear regression model y = XB + € with E(e) = 0. The bias of the ridge estimator of 3 obtained by minimizing Q(B) = (y — Xß)¹ (y — Xß) + r(BTB), for some r > 0, is ——(X²X + r1)-¹8 1 (X¹X +rI)-¹3 r -r(XTX+rI) ¹8 r(X¹X+r1) ¹3
- A scatter plot shows data for the cost of a vintage car from a dealership (y in dollars) in the year a years since 1990. The least squares regression line is given by y-25,000 + 500z. Interpret the y intercept of the least squares regression line. Select the correct answer below O The predicted cost of a vintage car from a dealership in the year is 820.000 O The predicted cost of a vintage car from a dealershpin the year 1090 is 85,000. O The predicted cost of a vintage car from a dealershp in the year 1990 is sse. The yintercept should not be interpreted.Consider the output here from a regression in R. What is 3₂? Coefficients: Estimate (Intercept) 1.708 5.404 -1.478 9.531 X1 X2 X3 Std. Error 0.555 2.792 0.6 2.758The table to the right contains price-demand and total cost data for the production of projectors, where p is the wholesale price (in dollars) of a projector for an annual demand of x projectors and C is the total cost (in dollars) of producing x projectors. Answer the following questions (A) - (D). (A) Find a quadratic regression equation for the price-demand data, using x as the independent variable. X 270 360 520 780 The fixed costs are $. (Round to the nearest dollar as needed.) ITTI y = (Type an expression using x as the variable. Use integers or decimals for any numbers in the expression. Round to two decimal places as needed.) Use the linear regression equation found in the previous step to estimate the fixed costs and variable costs per projector. The variable costs are $ per projector. (Round to the nearest dollar as needed.) (C) Find the break even points. The break even points are (Type ordered pairs. Use a comma to separate answers as needed. Round to the nearest integer as…