Assume the market thinks there is a 40% probability of devaluation of 5% within the next month. How much must the annual interest rate increase to defend the fixed exchange rate? What if the probability of 5% devaluation within the next month increases to 80%?

Managerial Economics: Applications, Strategies and Tactics (MindTap Course List)
14th Edition
ISBN:9781305506381
Author:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris
Publisher:James R. McGuigan, R. Charles Moyer, Frederick H.deB. Harris
Chapter6: Managing In The Global Economy
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 12E
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Assume the market thinks there is a 40% probability of devaluation of 5% within the next month. How much must the annual interest rate increase to defend the fixed exchange rate? What if the probability of 5% devaluation within the next month increases to 80%? 

 

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