International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780357130698
Author: Madura
Publisher: Cengage
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What are the expected U.S. dollars UCD ends up receiving for its 250,000 euro receivable based on its exchange rate forecasting given below?
Scenario Spot Exchange Rate One Year Later Probability
1 $1.14 15%
2 $1.17 60%
3 $1.20 25%
Suppose that the current spot exchange rate is €0.80/$ and the three-month forward exchange
rate is €0.7813/$. The three-month interest rate is 5.60 percent per annum in the United States
and 5.40 percent per year in France. Assume that you can borrow up to $1,000,000 or €800,000.
Assume that you want to realize profit in terms of euros. Determine the arbitrage profit in euros.
The $/£ spot exchange rate is currently $1.50 per pound and is expected to fall to $1.42 per pound one year from now. The annual interest rate on pound deposits is 5 percent.
A. Calculate the expected annual dollar rate of return on one-year British-pound deposits using the precise approach.
B. Calculate the expected annual dollar rate of return on one-year British-pound deposits using the approximation approach.
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- Assume interest rate parity (IRP). The nominal one-year rate in the USA will be 15%, and in Australia it will be 11% for one year. The Australian dollar (AUD) SPOT exchange rate is 0.45 USD/AUD. AUD 15 million will be required in one year. A one-year Australian dollar (AUD) forward contract is purchased today. How many US dollars (USD) will be used in one year to fulfill your forward contract?The alternatives area. Premium of 3.603604%, FWD exchange rate 0.466216216 AUD/USD and $6,993,243.24 USD to be needed.b. Premium of 3.603604%, FWD exchange rate 0.466216216 USD/AUD and $6,993,243.24 to be required. c. Discount of 3.478261%, FWD exchange rate 0.434347826 AUD/USD and $6,515,217.39 to be required.d. Discount of 3.478261%, FWD exchange rate 0.434347826 USD/AUD and $6,515,217.39 to be required.arrow_forward) Suppose the spot exchange rate for the Hungarian Forint is HUF 209/USD. The infiation rate in the US is 3.5% per year and 5.7% in Hungary. What do you predict the exchange rate will be in two-years? _What is the-expected appreciation or depreciation of the USD over this period?arrow_forwardCredible Research sold a microchip to the Vausten Institute in Germany on credit and invoiced €10 million payable within half a year. Currently, the 6-month forward exchange rate is $1.10/€ and the foreign exchange advisor for Credible Research predicts that the spot rate is likely to be $1.05/€ in 6 months. (i) What would be the expected gain or loss from the forward hedging? (ii) As a decision-maker for Credible Research, would you suggest hedging this euro receivable? Please explain why or why not? (iii) what if the foreign exchange advisor anticipates that the future spot rate will be similar to the forward exchange rate quoted today. As the decision-maker would you propose hedging in this case? If yes or no why?arrow_forward
- The US risk-free rate is 8% and the Mexico rate is 7%. The spot and 10-month forward exchange rates are 20.9 and 19.9 peso/$, respectively. Find the covered interest arbitrage profit (expressed in $) you'll make in10 months if you can borrow either $1M or its equivalent in pesos?arrow_forwardSuppose that the current spot exchange rate is €0.85 per $ and the three-month forward exchange rate is €0.8313 per $. The three- month interest rate is 5.60 percent per annum in the United States and 5.40 percent per annum in France. Assume that you can borrow up to $1,000,000 or €850,000. Required: a. How will you realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage, assuming that you want to realize profit in terms of U.S. dollars? What will be the size of your arbitrage profit? b. Assume that you want to realize profit in terms of euros. Show the covered arbitrage process and determine the arbitrage profit in euros. How will you realize a certain profit and size of your arbitrage profit? Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below. Required A Required B How will you realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage, assuming that you want to realize profit in terms of U.S. dollars? What will be the size of your arbitrage profit? Note: Do not round…arrow_forwardSuppose that the current spot exchange rate is €0.80/$ and the three-month forward exchange rate is €0.7813/$. The three-month interest rate is 5.60 percent per annum in the United States and 5.40 percent per annum in France. Assume that you can borrow up to $1,000,000 or €800,000. a. Show how to realize a certain profit via covered interest arbitrage, assuming that you want to realize profit in terms of U.S. dollars. Also determine the size of your arbitrage profit. b. Assume that you want to realize profit in terms of euros. Show the covered arbitrage process and determine the arbitrage profit in euros. 2. ATech has fixed costs of $7 million and profits of $4 million. Its competitor, ZTech, is roughly the same size and this year earned the same profits, $4 million. But it operates with fixed costs of $5 million and lower variable costs. a. Which firm has higher operating leverage? Hint: Use Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL), b. Which firm will likely have higher profits if the…arrow_forward
- You use today's spot rate of the Brazilian real to forecast the spot rate of the real for one month ahead. Today's spot rate is $0.4577. Assume that you obtain the end-of-month spot exchange rates of the Brazilian real during the end of each of the last 6 months. End of Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 % $ Value of Brazilian real Use the value-at-risk method to determine the maximum percentage loss of the Brazilian real over the next month based on a 95 percent confidence level. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. $0.4244 0.4290 0.4283 0.4617 0.4725 0.4577 Forecast the exchange rate that would exist under these conditions. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.arrow_forwardHan Co wishes to predict the exchange rate between the dollar ($) and the euro (€), based on the following information: Spot exchange rate $1= €1.6515 Dollar interest rate 4.5% per year Euro interest rate 6.0% per year Which of the following is the one-year forward rate, using interest rate parity theory? O $1= €1.2386 O $1= €1.6752 O $1= €2.2020 O $1= €1.6281arrow_forwardCalculate the one year forward exchange rate using the direct method: Spot Rate $ 1.4830 / € U.S Libor (1 Year) 2.50 % Euro Libor (1 Year) 4.15 % Explain arbitrage condition underlying your workarrow_forward
- An investor has $10m to invest and has the following options: 1) depositing it in a US bank account paying 3% annually, or 2) depositing it in a German bank, where the annual rate of interest is only 2%. Assume that today the current spot exchange rate for the Euro is given as $1.2750, while the 1-year Dollar-Euro forward rate is posted as 1.2995. a. Based on your knowledge of the relationship between interest rate differentials and the current dollar-euro forward premium or discount, in which country should the investor deposit her money? why? b. If you had the power to adjust the German interest rate, with all else constant, what rate would you establish, such that the investor is totally indifferent between depositing in either countries? Show your work and the logic behind it.arrow_forward5. A U.S. firm expects a receivable (cash inflow) of €1,000,000 in six months. The current exchange rate is $1.125/€. Firm wants to sell euros in six months (to convert the inflow into dollars). Consider 3 possible spot prices in six months. 1. $1.195/€ 2. $1.100/€ 3. $1.025/€ What kind of option, put or call, is appropriate to hedge with? In each scenario, what is the total amount of the firm's NET receivable? NET receivable implies you should consider the receivable as well as the hedging costs of buying the option. (Assume an option exercise price of $1.130/€ and option premium of $.016/€) | 1. 2. 3.arrow_forwardthe current spot exchange rate is $1.85/£ and the three-month forward rate is $1.80/£. Based on your analysis of the exchange rate, you are pretty confident that the spot exchange rate will be $1.82/£ in three months, assume that you would like to buy or sell £1,000,000. a) what actions do you need to take to use these rates to earn a profit? what is the expected dollar profit from speculation? b) What would be your speculative profit in dollar terms if the spot exchange rate actually turns out to be $1.76/£arrow_forward
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