The application which provides a way of revising conditional probabilities by using available information and provisions for revising conditional probabilities with other information that is useful for management decision making is called? Select one: a. Bayes’ theorem. b. overinvolvement ratios. c. probability rules. d. empirical formula.

The application which provides a way of revising conditional probabilities by using available information and provisions for revising conditional probabilities with other information that is useful for management decision making is called? Select one: a. Bayes’ theorem. b. overinvolvement ratios. c. probability rules. d. empirical formula.

Microeconomic Theory

12th Edition

ISBN:9781337517942

Author:NICHOLSON

Publisher:NICHOLSON

Chapter7: Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 7.1P

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

The marginal utility of income for a risk-averse individual will be: Select one: a. diminishing. b. constant. c. increasing. d. unknown; the answer depends on the value of income.
What techniques are used to solve decision-making problems under uncertainty? Which technique results in an optimistic decision? Which technique results in a pessimistic decision?b) What is sensitivity analysis? Why should sensitivity analysis consider all possible consequences
Cost-Benefit Analysis Suppose you can take one of two summer jobs. In the first job as a flight attendant, with a salary of $5,000, you estimate the probability you will die is 1 in 40,000. Alternatively, you could drive a truck transporting hazardous materials, which pays $12,000 and for which the probability of death is 1 in 10,000. Suppose that you're indifferent between the two jobs except for the pay and the chance of death. If you choose the job as a flight attendant, what does this say about the value you place on your life?
1) Explain the importance of continuous variables. 2) How do we define the probability P(X) of a continuous random variable? Provide two examples of continuous random variables. 3) Explain what is meant by a discrete random variable (X), its expected value and standard deviation. 4) What is the usefulness of the Central Limit Theorem?
Describe and use techniques that apply to decision making under uncertainty.
Question 6 Which of the below indifference curve correspond to the highest risk aversion? E(r) .60 .40 .20 .09 .05 0 D and C B and A .10 .20 .30 .40 .5 D C B A
a. If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the fourstates of nature, what is the recommended decision using:i. the optimistic approachii. the conservative approachiii. the minimax regret approachiv. the Laplace method
Suppose that a car - rental agency offers insurance for a week that costs $125. A minor fender bender will cost 34000 whereas a major accident might cost $16 comma 000 in repairs. Without the insurance, you would be personally liable for any damages. There are two decision alternatives: take the insurance, or do not take the insurance. You researched insurance industry statistics and found out that the probability of a major accident is 0.04% and that the probability of a fender bender is 0.18%. The expected payoff if you buy the insurance is $125.00. The expected payoff if you do not buy the insurance is $12.52. Develop a utility function for the payoffs associated with this decision for a risk-averse person. Determine the decision that would result using the utilities instead of the payoffs. Based on the expected payoffs, the best decision is to not purchase the insurance. Are these two decisions consistent?
Probability is the likelihood or chance of an event occurring. Discuss its significance in real life. Develop a hypothesis about any real life occurring phenomena and calculate probability by using hypothetical values.
Suppose that an individual is just willing to accept a gamble to win or lose $1000 if the probability ofwinning is 0.6. Suppose that the utility gained if the individual wins is 100 utils. How much utility does one lose if one loses the gamble?
Any risk-averse individual would always (Select all that applies) a) take a 30% chance at $100 rather than a sure $20. b) take a sure $20 rather than a 30% chance at $100. c) take a sure $2 rather than a 50% chance at $5 and a 50% chance at losing $1. d) take a 50% chance at $5 and a 50% chance at losing $1 rather than a sure $1.
Isabella understands that if she were to play golf, she would be able to spend time outdoors (where she likes to be) with people she enjoys. However, because she has taken golf lessons 10+ times and still cannot hit the golf ball, she does not believe that she can actually play golf. Based on what you know about Expectancy Theory, will she join her friends to play golf this summer? Group of answer choices Yes. Instrumentality and Valence are high. No. Valence is too high. No. Expectancy is low. Yes. Instrumentality is high.